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They're turning out of the frightening standoff between north and South Korea as North Korea hides missile launchers along the coast.
And suggest foreign embassies and evacuate here at home.
You realize the very direct impact on us in our economy if things keep escalating.
No question any potential damage -- -- is scary.
But this is a show about monies that we are breaking down the cost behind it and how it does affect you personally -- some of this may actually surprise you with me now.
Timer from the -- the -- for the study of war and Chris Griffin with a foreign policy initiative welcome to both Chris says.
Chris Harman let me start with you.
So what think about this move.
That was reported today about North Korea moving these medium range missile launchers they're mobile they can be hated moving them along because I mean is this it sounds really serious is this area.
I'm elicits a pleasure be within deceiving thanks for having me yes it is a very serious move but it does make a lot of sense from a military perspective.
They're long range missile systems -- Intercontinental ballistic missile systems in their medium range ballistic missile systems are liquid fueled.
So they're not quite as mobile it takes longer to set those up fuel them and fire them.
They're road mobile systems have play.
Diminish straight three let's arranged in -- longer missile systems.
But they are road mobile and that makes a lot more difficult for us to know where they are and how to -- and so from a military perspective.
It makes a lot of sense for the north -- to put their mobile systems out there.
Chris -- I mean before god forbid anyone launches a single missile or anything happens it is already creating an economic disruption -- That could get worse I mean there is tremendous auto industry on the Korean Peninsula.
You know apple has talked about potentially having some problem getting some parts.
Does this make manufacturers.
And companies think about changing how and where they do business.
I think sports program to be the other Chris tonight.
The that I think that there's two basic scenarios here -- one is that the escalation in this crisis unfolds like the other ones have where.
They -- you reached the point that there is some type of intuit.
Life goes on in 1994 of the Korean stock market had a -- crash and we almost went to war with North Korea.
That means you can see that there was -- the stock market lost today that.
You couldn't have a more valuable and important economic relationship we have with South Korea but as long as this resolves like the other escalation sort of had with them do.
But I don't think there's a catastrophic destruction.
Unfortunately the other scenario this catastrophe and an apple is getting -- My mind okay well Chris let's put that back to you then what do you think are the odds that this just calms down and it goes away the -- -- mean.
We're looking caddie a younger more experienced leader now.
Who maybe we can't count on to respond in the way that North Korean leaders have always passed.
-- it's a very good point I don't want to put odds on it other than to say that they do heavy distinct nuclear capability.
They've got to capability -- artillery tubes again with medium range rocket systems.
To cover the entire south Korean Peninsula so while I agree with Chris Griffin that there is sort of a sense of deja -- all over again this is just North Korea being crazy.
There seems to be something fundamentally different here that they've gone about this any different way they've been more visible.
More -- more visible in terms of what the are doing.
They're letting us know that -- prepositioning assets.
They're making a big deal about it I think and I try to yank our chain -- -- see how we react.
And Chris like I just think that that when you are watching what is going on -- you are feeling the tension and you are thinking about the possibilities and you are GM or your apple and you have the choice of making products.
On the Korean Peninsula and in this region or you could say.
Look to the future to relocate to Mexico this factor -- it does it not.
-- I think it absolutely -- and if you look back twenty years ago -- the crisis that we had with North Korea.
And imagine here we are today where it is has basically -- a trend line that hasn't changed dramatically.
And look forward pointy -- if the regime is still there.
Do they have those affected by CBMs -- can -- the United States that how dangerous the Cisco and and it's also a test case of can you contain a rogue state with nuclear weapons and the costs of doing so and there's going to be possible -- South Korean office.
Chris -- a real quick before we go why is it that that the public -- even our government.
Seems to take the north Koreans a lot less seriously that we do the Iranians for example it's a very different tenor of the conversation that's going on.
Right now around this vs when we talk about the Iranian nuclear weapons why is that.
Yeah that's a great question the point is is it North Korea is relatively isolated and this is sort of their standard modus operandi where they act crazy.
-- and on the other hand is actively engaged in foreign terrorist organizations around the world.
Every hot spot that we have rained on Middle East he -- are actively involved actively making it worse Syria Lebanon and Gaza Sinai.
Be radiance of the primary sponsors of Hezbollah and recently Hamas.
So there's just a different flavor there the Iranians are actively engaged in that disruptive behavior where is the Koreans may be just posturing.
Yeah thanks for -- -- a lot of people asking that question today and thanks to both of you for coming on.
They give us.
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