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Are Machines Ready to Take Over?

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    Economist Jim Miller on the rise in technology and how it will impact our lives.

  • Duration 4:24
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-- can win -- jeopardy but.

Economics professor Jim Miller says what will come next is much more interest it so what's that well computers are getting smarter and smarter and eventually they'll be able to do everything we can do.

I don't know that we're human we have special skills.

-- but we're just machines and we're machines that you know our brains run on meet.

And we know it's possible to build machines much smarter than our brains and much faster and computing power keeps -- -- not -- computing power you can buy per year keeps double and.

Twenty double lenses about a million fold increase so today we had a computer as fast as a human brain.

Twenty years -- -- a million times faster and -- all the obsolete.

So the first step may be that computers will make their own computers if we have computers smarter than people making computers there are smarter than men.

As they get smarter they're better at making smarter things we could have an explosion and we.

Go from computers being a bit smarter than -- to being as above us intelligence as we are from pants.

So the fear then is that companies won't hire people talk to buy machines.

-- well that doesn't have to be if you -- I mean are the purpose of work is to get stuff to consume.

So be great to live in an economy in which robots did all the work they were nice to us and we got to enjoy the fruits of their labor.

That's one possibility you have some other possible yet unfortunately these machines wouldn't need us they make treat us the way we treat chimpanzees that perfectly happy to take our stuff and leave us for -- that searched.

If it.

On meets their needs.

So another scenario from the we merged with a machine.

Yeah we've put computers in our brains as computers get faster they're also getting smaller.

And if you put computers and we already have the replacement body part.

Yet exactly and if we can start making augmenting our brains will get smarter will be much more productive and become very very rich very quickly -- the starts to happen -- criticism is all of -- well.

This will be this -- Exacerbate any quality -- the rich will merge more quickly.

With computers that it is possible but I actually think the other outcome is more more likely if you look at cell phones of all the rich -- -- first to get cell -- there's now.

Poor farmers in Bangladesh you have them.

A lot of this technology is going to be of the kind which really expensive to develop but I think once who developed it won't cost that much to make extra copies.

And so the -- might end up getting the stuff only a few years after the rich do.

So what do we do to prepare for.

Well one way is an individual you can prepare is to think how can you continue to be a productive employee.

In a world in which computers get continually smarter know eventually it's gonna be hopeless but along the way there's still going to be a lot of stuff.

That people can do and computers can't.

And if you can figure that out in your profession you'll be able to make a lot of money.

It's also possible if we merge with the computer that we will live much longer yeah and that's the upside that.

If we have medical research being done by super Smart computers and they like us they could extend our lifetime and definitely we can be -- perhaps millions of years.

The women if they like cuts hundreds of machine like us well machine runs on software and people will write the software -- if we get it right.

The machines will have objectives of you know being nice to people do things they care about.

Vs.

The alternative the matrix where they takeover.

Yet accepted -- matrix is that realistic is it wouldn't really need to surround for any reason that it would public as quickly -- us.

That's -- how much time we got.

Well estimate scary I would say at a minimum probably at least ten years.

Almost certainly this century and I would I would get about 2045 as part of the best estimate for when we'll have computers at least -- smartest people.

I find what you say very plausible but -- I look back at these bold predictions in 1924 article said the flying automobile.

The car of the future.

It's recently as 1979.

Book predicted the Olympics will be held on the -- -- the by the year 20/20.

It could be totally off about this stuff out it's certainly possible but there's so many different ways of achieving intelligence enhancements.

And there's such tremendous military and economic benefits to doing -- But I think it's very likely we will I mean we couldn't -- the Olympics on the moon by no hope you're really -- to it's just not that valuable.

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