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Barclays Sr. Geopolitical Strategist Helima Croft discusses whether the global community will deal with Iran’s nuclear program and how it will impac...
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We have to transition can jog on the sexiest man alive -- somehow Iran.
And -- next year's kind of the year of Iran the year we it's somebody must deal with an international community the problems in Iran.
Joining us now is -- across senior geopolitical strategist at Barclays for a Lehman wisest gonna get forced the -- in the windy think it'll happen.
I mean seriously we have to look at their negotiations to gonna start in down -- -- the extend over February and march but the commented we don't get a deal on Iran and -- -- program.
-- had June July -- reach break out capability in terms of their program -- they could quickly assemble a crew nick hood of my.
In a relatively short period of time and that's the Red Line that Netanyahu.
-- he drew the marker on the bomb that when he spoke at the -- general assembly.
That's his bread lines this is coming to ahead.
Quite quickly.
Let's talk about it -- moment what we do about that in the United States but what you look at all the time is the the oil.
Market that is geopolitical events and threats.
Affect that so what -- the market look like if that's the scenario that's kind of slowly unfolding early next year I think.
I think we saw over the summer when negotiations resumed with the -- anticipate a scenario in January February but the markets has we -- -- off ramp but if an offer doesn't materialize or rent for a nasty shock.
Come you know may June when Netanyahu is saying once again I'm ready to -- what about Netanyahu in the elections though coming up in January 40 going to be reelected.
And -- the question is if he gets a huge majority is that embolden his position because he's run on the issue of protecting Israel from -- and because threat.
So the question says keep himself and a bit of a corner when you go we for the UN general assembly and you draw that picture of the Red Line and say I will not tolerate this.
And we resent decision point he be under pressure.
So do we have options the United States that mean we had a story -- recently talking about how Iran is heading into -- technically in a recession.
Economically so that the story was all the sanctions are working either in recession but -- are they end of what are our options.
-- have made life tough for -- -- and voice to see is certain consuming countries particularly Asian consuming countries.
Have further once again take Iran in crude.
To this are actually starting to beat a little bit -- -- -- -- of actually getting more of their crude onto the market and they had been a couple of months ago.
Think that's -- -- this difficult for Iran.
Is it difficult enough to force him to abandon their -- ambitions probably not.
And we taking our eye off the ball to dealing with Syria now acknowledgment of the of the rebel group in Syria do we go further than just that given what we know or don't know about those -- here's the question is it too late to change the outcome.
I mean we are acknowledging the sort of benign face of the rebels for picking the rebel side that we thank.
Represents our interest but the question is -- Assad falls.
Are they going to be -- -- -- power and you look at the recent military gains by the rebels in Syria the group the most successful as the kind of extremist group the group that the al-Qaeda offshoot.
That's a real problem in terms of who's going to be in charge of this country with chemical weapons.
All right excellent across from Barclays is illustration pinky so much perhaps we love having you here we always learn so much to limit thank you so much happier holiday -- -- thank you so much soccer.
