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-- -- -- President Obama returned to the White House after a three day trip through southeast Asia.
With stops in Cambodia and Thailand and Burma tomorrow -- president takes part and -- yearly presidential tour and it tradition.
The pardoning of the national Thanksgiving Turkey and the Rose Garden.
The prime minister of Israel reiterating tonight that no cease fire deal has been reached yet.
He told reporters that Israel will take whatever action is necessary.
To defend its people but standard -- diplomatic resolution would be.
-- joining us now Fox -- national security analyst.
Former pentagon official KT McFarland former US ambassador to the United Nations Fox News contributor John -- Doctor -- -- Fox News Middle Eastern affairs analyst.
You'll be joining us here in just a matter of moments he's -- me turn to you first.
Is it your sense that a deal has been reached between Hamas and Israel.
I think because -- has probably apathy objectives that it wanted to accomplish -- -- -- take out.
The missiles in Gaza but we think that this is all about Israel and Hamas and Gaza it's not it's all about Iran.
It's all about Israel having the ability six months down the road.
Still if it feels it needs to take a preemptive strike against Iran's nuclear sites and not -- Retaliate directly against Israel so why are they doing what they're doing with Gaza they want to take out 101000 missiles in Gaza particularly long range missiles.
Capable of reaching the population centers in -- Europe and by doing -- -- like a preemptive attack.
And -- -- have a preemptive attack and I think they've accomplished that and they're ready to deal.
KG saying that -- conditioning the battleground and they -- eliminated if you will.
The right -- do you concur.
Well I hope that's right but I don't think so I'm indeed the fact is that the Iran aliens have been smuggling these longer range rockets and for some time we we thought they might have this capability.
Really going back to 2006.
That this is a demonstration that they've got at least some of it.
But I think the very fact that Israel mobilize thirty thousands of reservists.
Was some indication that they didn't think they had achieved everything I -- -- of the pressure that they've been under not to go -- on the ground has been.
Unbelievable although the Obama administration has been saying publicly Israel has a right to defend itself.
The real message that Secretary Clinton is delivering to Netanyahu is don't even think about.
Going in on the -- and I can -- -- had just come back from Paris yesterday the Europeans are already heading for the exits a -- -- deeply afraid.
The consequences of an Israeli.
Ground incursion and I think Netanyahu has looked around.
And doesn't see any support so I think Israel's gonna end up here in a weaker strategic position having made the threat but not carried out.
Let's follow up on the out of that KT and when and John I just wanna follow up on on your suggestion that whether you're exposed here.
The Europeans have never been particularly helpful and at times a conflict to the Israelis so -- certainly shouldn't be here.
I would think a surprise to them -- Now -- -- -- guarantee it'll comes from the financial aid to Egypt as part of this sort of bigger package.
I think that if you look at where did this start it started in October and late October when their -- -- bombing of a Sudanese.
Missile factory in -- that was Israel during the first step of -- take out those missiles.
That were ultimately going to end up in Gaza through that analysis as investor bonds -- -- But the second part of it I think Israel was waiting for the opportunity and when Hamas at its normal -- -- few missiles over the border into Israel.
Israel's had -- this is claimed this -- make my day and so it could retaliate.
With absolute just caused.
-- women take out the missile batteries and arsenal's.
And from what I gather they've achieved probably 90% of what that is about to do so from mr.
as my view I do I disagree I think there are much better position now than they work.
And and put themselves in a much better position for six months now.
Well you know I don't I don't have any relatives in Israel so I don't have anything now on the line one way or the other but I Italian the fact that you've got Mohamed Morrissey as president of Egypt.
Is a very different strategic situation and Hosni Mubarak.
He at least turned a blind guy is these missiles were being smuggled into Gaza vis -- -- the long range missiles in particular.
Are pretty -- hard to hide on the back of a goat.
So so this is that this was considerable logistical effort to to get however many.
-- the longer range missiles and that they've got in and -- security.
In the Sinai continuing to deteriorate.
I have to believe if Iran wants to put more missiles -- it can and ultimately this is about Iran it's not about.
Is it also and doctoral in farms has joined us now -- Is this also about Turkey as well as -- aspirations of Iran.
And is there a sense that Iran wants to engage here wants to broaden this conflict.
And and move ahead with the confrontation rather than withdraw.
It's absolutely an Iranian strategic decision to do two things.
Number one it's still put pressure on the Israelis adds depth proceeding in Syria as the Iran onions are proceeding supporting asset.
As that proceeding and strengthening Hezbollah and Lebanon.
As Japanese trading Iraq we have to look at the region as a whole plot told between that and -- and Iran.
And there's a civil war in -- those who are bothering Iran and Syria -- You know the Muslim Brotherhood and other insurgents so it -- -- deflect attention from Syria.
Iran is supposed to be the one to encourage some factions within Hamas to start chatting -- Israelis knowing it's predictable that is -- is that gonna retaliate.
The Muslim Brotherhood president in Egypt.
This is not -- timing but he cannot but support Hamas when Hamas is attacked or confident that by the Israelis and are -- We can we know can we say publicly you must support.
What he does privately.
Could be quite different -- -- I think I think that the most about the -- governments and North Africa.
Had a different plan they want to take their time to support strategically Hamas and that's still struggling on the inside.
That explains that in public -- support Hamas and so is the case of started to answer a question.
pentagon is not ready right now to confront.
Anything it has to do with the Arab Israeli conflict but his public position has to align with Hamas and with -- the real.
Competition is between Iran and issue of this walking.
The real conference.
Nation may be -- but the real money is coming from.
The United States and the that your US led International Monetary Fund.
Which and in addition to that area billion and a half dollars of president Obama's passport John Bolton.
They -- -- put forward almost five billion dollars in guarantees.
And this is whatever else it is -- are radical Islamist state the Muslim Brotherhood led.
The Egyptian government it is it is strangle.
In an economy that is simply not working.
The United States and Europe have the trump cards period in this is that an incorrect statement in your judgment.
Yes because the IMF deal has started inside -- -- has that that credit line out there.
I think what's going on in Egypt is that there's a struggle between well -- there's an idea this was reached today they have not been funded if -- major.
So yeah but the deals done.
Well I it was not done until the money's in their hands and there -- dry conditions like acquiescence of judgment and reason that -- was necessary component.
As you as you correctly pointed out the Europeans are not gonna put pressure on Egypt more stable get his money from the IMF I think the struggle where we -- I'm really -- -- I interject John.
I truly believe it's -- fair statement to say the United States will habits will.
With the I am map and what it does in this instance that -- -- -- we have my wrong.
What will say at a couple weeks I I think the real struggle here is between -- -- is ideological.
In stinks on the one hand and elements of the Egyptian security structure the military and the intelligence services on the other.
Who despite more -- best efforts still understand where their bread is buttered.
So -- -- has say it hit his line is less concerned with.
The outside day economic factors than it is with dealing with the military.
Which still is not entirely comparable to say the least with his style of government but no doubt what he will try and do.
Is find a way to prop up those elements of Hamas that want to keep this struggle going maybe not today but in a month or six months will be back here.
Incidence -- over the course of history -- that the last -- I think we're seeing is a big surprise in office he was walking a very -- -- tight -- if he was to -- much in favor of Israel.
I'm not tough enough on the Israelis -- the Americans he -- had a problem on his flank with his radical extremists on the other hand.
If he decided -- that peace treaty if he was too cozy with Hamas -- risks losing all that aid and without that money in the egyptians are starving in the streets.
I think he actually played it pretty well now whether he can -- -- the agreement and prevent more missiles coming in more weapons coming in we will wasting.
Paula thank you very much John thank you appreciated thinking -- -- and much more.
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