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Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani on the impact of the early poll results.
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Results but no big surprises yet well -- right to states that that.
He had to win he didn't win that his Mitt Romney and Indiana -- -- -- community -- Is ultimately it is excellent that's another -- while other twenty -- all Virginia I think Virginia tells -- a lot about how this night's gonna go.
So let's say Mitt Romney doesn't.
Probably means everything else is close she carries it like more than 34 points 34 points she probably went.
And I think of Virginia will tell you a lot about whose turnout model is correct me the Obama people expect to win Virginia the Romney people expect to win Virginia.
Somebody wins -- big.
They're probably right the other side is wrong.
You know exit polls to mean a lot of things there but the economy not the president a dominant issue there aren't a lot of folks' minds.
Bomb.
But it depends how they play it -- I don't I don't give examples the slightest bit of neither do line -- -- I was losing.
My six points.
-- won by three.
-- would you buy it affected the economy would be an offer for its original four I was in this building 8 o'clock member of that remembered are John Terry was winning by 66%.
To match -- -- -- president there is putting together his cabinet that was a 9% swing.
That that -- that we will find out -- the exit polls are right.
When a couple of states come back then either valid -- surprises -- somebody exit polls are saying the economies are dominated should not all.
Taking out their -- about the economy on the president of the many still say it's George Bush's fault.
I think we'll see Virginia will be a much better test you -- any at any of the exit polls.
If if a Mitt Romney can win Virginia -- 3% or better.
Then the Republican model is working.
If he loses it.
-- we we we're gonna to miracle.
And if it's really close.
And a half a long night and -- -- -- go into Monday.
They're gonna go into homeowner -- don't -- -- they go -- -- my duties to make it might not do much good but I anybody to get a pump Florida's another one that did that you know the polls.
There that's a battleground state -- of late Mitt Romney has been consistently Boeing while.
So he has to do well there right part of another state that -- have to -- isn't busy campaigning I would think Florida is a much even more than Virginia's a must win you know.
-- Ohio -- in Ohio and maybe.
A Pennsylvania win.
Good to Ohio so I was really important but -- if he can take Florida and Virginia from beginning Florida or Virginia.
And he slips in Ohio then you know Colorado.
May be a Pennsylvania to make up for that there are ways to do it and then.
But Virginia and Florida are critical you don't we always forget mayor that there's so many other races going on 33 senate seats and that Republicans would need.
A net gain of four senate seats as they have a president Romney three senate seats because the vice president would be I think his presence on -- How likely is that it will look like you give me.
Little more than a few months -- -- not so much that I see in the early voting that Murdoch is ahead by not by much but he still ahead.
Murdoch wins with people but we're wondering whether he can because of some of that that controversial comments.
We say he was a Tea Party backed candidate toppled Richard Lugar -- Indiana.
Any made some -- comments on on my worry that and -- this theory was he was gonna he was -- -- -- -- his -- looks it looks like right now.
He's got a little bit of believe that this -- you see what happens in this in Missouri Rolla Missouri whichever way -- our.
Well that race -- even going into today so it's a possible that they can say -- and Murdoch pull -- out then then the what Democrats were hoping for that the Republicans dropped two seats.
You know I was thinking etiquette on I don't know what your thoughts on the -- at the Republican Party abandoning after those comments.
And what's to stop him from saying well I certainly won't do Republican -- it -- He's a conservative idea these is that he's going to -- -- bygones only -- -- and diehard conservative and I think.
And and I think and I think governor Romney is they'll look at what I see in Kentucky and Indiana -- were the old Republican states how they're performing.
I think -- give a big win -- Missouri.
And that will help -- -- and him around he's probably gonna do.
1015%.
Win at least of Missouri.
Probably 1015 do you think there's any other possibility mayor other of the split the electoral vote goes on my complicated and I assure you don't isn't unprecedented happened four times and that happened recently disasters as happened -- -- -- -- it almost happened in 2000 absolutely.
And and that was a bush big.
Popular vote we let -- free -- output at a 1181000 votes on the other way.
Ohio and -- president area right actually 60000 people flip around now.
And carries -- president.
-- within a three million vote deficit in the popular vote so is it possible sure it's always unlikely because the originally I mean the other thing you're suggesting is.
You know you you have one guy when that.
When the presidency and another guy when the vice presidency of the -- of electoral college and it's.
Well that's right that's the time right away -- since I was the vice president and and -- -- -- the president.
You're absolutely right we're gonna be -- to some of these states that we -- as the mayor.
Was -- currently pointing out here we -- some states in -- a Kentucky and Indiana as expected going for Mitt Romney.
Vermont as expected going for Barack Obama the Indiana results or -- or at least -- improbably good news for Republicans.
Because that was a surprising pick up by Democrats for years ago that state now back in the red column.
Tonight so again Indiana and Kentucky -- Mitt Romney Vermont.
These the only states that we can call right now.
For.
Barack Obama we should also stress here that that we you're looking at those 33 senate races we're looking -- Eleven gubernatorial races we are looking at all 435.
House seats up for grabs.
And no less than 42 different referenda going on.
Around the country including six for legalizing.
Marijuana I don't know what that says about our economy are times that so many are focused on pot right now but.
I'm -- from medicinal purposes that their do you -- I are you surprised I know Lou was getting into this in the -- -- That didn't -- is not showing up on the radar screen.
As a tactical choice by the Romney campaign not to raise it in that last debate.
I am surprised I'd I I felt it was a strong issue I was out there the last full -- -- -- -- for different states.
I had a lot of veterans come up to me -- -- angry they are about it.
-- one man and in Fort Lauderdale who've who fought the Second World War he was both he was both at Pearl Harbor and in the Normandy invasion.
And he stood up that this meeting -- having in the synagogue and he said I'm not gonna vote for Barack Obama I did last from a -- from this time because he's he's left our men behind.
And everybody started cheering the few people -- miss him it's a deep issue for the people who really who who really feel but apparently not enough of -- No I don't think it ever got it yet -- -- the ever got above the line.
Because is the Romney campaign made the choice -- -- not to raise -- in that debate so I mean maybe that was the right choice in the wrong choice we'll find out.
I know you don't put much stock can exit polls ought to do I want aren't just general finding the pops up among general issues.
The economy and and those who takes the blame or credit when it comes the bad stuff there's still blend and towards -- -- should perfectly I got up up.
I what I make it that is maybe that's why the pot issue so heavy on the -- -- yeah.
That you've got to be -- -- to really blame it on bush four years later.
And I wish I had -- now -- without it right underneath that 2% fewer people put Miller Fillmore was to blame for that but.
Kim IL I I -- that -- it would almost seem to me would be that it is exhibit the president's weakness that 34 years later.
You're blaming it on the guy you took you to go before in the worst part is that some a lot of take -- at some point your take accountability around -- -- -- -- I would think the American people.
Will hold them accountable -- that if that stands up to hello it's still very early.
