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Damn Lies and Poll Statistics

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  • Description

    FBN's Dennis Kneale says one verdict from tonight's election will be which polls got it right.

  • Duration 2:24
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I could -- many anticipated decisions coming from today's election but America's next president isn't the only 11 verdict will be -- of which polls got it right Dennis feels covering the story and joins us -- Dennis I mean especially this last week we've been.

In poll overload mode if you well.

Yet -- all over the place let's talk lies damn lies and -- statistics a proliferation of polls track in this too -- to call presidential race now.

They can't all be right and if this election ends up and a decisive victory -- one side.

An awful lot of pollsters are gonna have an awful lot of explaining to -- of twelve major polls fourth.

Have a dead -- -- including CNN Rasmussen Arlen Fox News six have Obama -- -- that includes pew NBC ABC CBS.

And to have Romney winning and one of this from shocker the liberal outlet national public radio.

Now when you average of all together as real clear politics does you get President Obama winning by maybe half a percentage point.

Yet the average old bottle -- in various -- is two points.

And the average Romney margin is three points and while the Gallup poll has Romney up by five points.

The poll by the liberal National Journal.

Has Obama up by five points.

Go figure.

Add to that the controversy over some polls over representing Democrats.

In their sample in the entire thing -- one big question mark Wall Street Journal -- says you get a good picture by averaging a passel polls altogether 908.

The average of the recent polls had Obama ahead of McCain by seven point six percentage points and Obama did win by exactly that we got a little bit higher percentage.

Than forecast in the last election.

The Rasmussen poll.

Was pretty on target in predicting Obama's margin of victory so what is draftsman saying now yesterday it for -- that dead -- -- and this morning.

Rasmussen as Romney.

Waiting by a single point -- You know only you can keep up with those numbers that we.

-- you -- it out so fast but that's the point right it's like info overload -- at the end of the day we don't really have a firm grasp of.

Yeah and I can't figure out why stocks up a 150 points or more right now -- apparently there's an Obama rally.

Or Romney rally or maybe just I'm so glad it's over rally over -- Are you glad it's -- -- Alley Dennis thank you.

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