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What are the Must-Win States for Romney?

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    Rasmussen Reports President Scott Rasmussen on the Presidential election.

  • Duration 5:03
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-- about two million Irish -- Amnon pulsar.

Scott Rasmussen to -- Rasmussen.

Good morning -- with you today.

I have absolutely no idea.

First -- my life I had to say that we grew our latest numbers show President Obama trailing by one point 49 to 48.

Well I look at all pulled out there are six of the last the national polls.

Show it's within one point four -- -- So we're heading to a close election and when you look at the battleground states.

It's pretty close in the -- well.

When you were under started pulling a -- to united foreign.

In the 2000 election.

Mortgages but it was gonna when are we -- -- and what was your margin there.

Our margin -- -- several points larger than Ritchie showed him winning a fairly comfortable victory and he beer league -- in -- lost the popular vote by half point.

Heralded and the Supreme Court dated may election and and -- autism to the Iraq War and other things so intelligence outside definition look at Tenneco.

So do our share of the zero.

Being embraced by many.

Dubbed it all revolves around who wins Ohio.

That is.

A little stronger than I would say if -- Ohio is certainly the most important state.

Look for Romney to win and he has to win Florida which I think you can do he has to win Virginia.

We sure -- -- two points but does that entire lead is built on leaders so that's that's going to be an early challenge for him if he wins Virginia.

In Florida that he has to win either Ohio or Wisconsin.

In Ohio because it has more electoral votes is -- bigger prize.

And so probably win all three of those Florida.

Virginia and Ohio -- in good shape.

Most of the -- -- Florida closed at 7 PM eastern time.

Except I just has some alone -- and -- -- figure rhetoric or hourly want to sell off.

If for example.

Romney does not win Florida.

That is pretty much older than didn't.

It's over -- look Virginia reports very early.

They're they're gonna serve another orbit early states we get information on.

And I think -- -- probably doesn't -- there it's over.

If he wins big you know by a couple points that were in first weaker nationwide and if Romney wins by more in Virginia -- -- a -- -- a good trend for.

Almost two Belgian doctors in my formal.

And that's what you are the president went -- -- O'Reilly was like I don't like -- -- like him.

-- great content so O'Reilly was gone above.

All surprised.

That the present -- Wisconsin.

Listed there where you.

Not at all to onlookers there are polling shows that race is even.

And I think the reason it's even in this is one of the great diaries of politics normal laws of unintended consequences.

The unions forced a recall effort to try get governor Scott Walker out of office and they didn't like -- of things he had done.

And that force the Republicans to respond very aggressively and the Republicans in Wisconsin built a very strong organization very strong ground -- It really got their folks fired up it is probably the best Republican get out the vote effort in the nation right now.

It -- Wisconsin is very competitive.

And we've seen not just the president -- but Mitt Romney.

And Paul Ryan and Joseph Biden are all hanging out in the state is different times the last -- I don't know who's gonna win Wisconsin.

But if if Romney does win that state it will be because of the union recall.

On your sense Ashley -- made that up.

Wonder weren't surprised that the president went to Wisconsin and -- -- -- is essentially clueless.

About -- -- cells from her position.

My position is I'm not surprised the president went to.

To Wisconsin why do you think Dick Morris who.

All of this up by -- a fairly reliable.

Plundered the downs.

Is -- and is well broadly landslide and -- -- -- Now that makes no sense to be alright Michael Barone.

Wrote a column where he projected did Romney might get to 315.

Electoral -- -- which I think is the high end of the possible.

But at least Barone is assessment.

Made sense to me -- if Mitt Romney does -- turnout among Republicans.

Especially older Republicans is a little bit higher than we expect.

Then the Romney could run all of the close states places like Ohio.

Wisconsin -- Iowa Colorado.

And -- and then for good measure Barone as saying we get an upsurge in Pennsylvania as well.

And the reason that could work -- again because all these states are closed but that was still only be a tour of three point Romney victory I'm not looking to see any kind of.

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