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How Will Youth Vote Impact Presidential Election?
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Generation Opportunity President Paul Conway on the trends of youth voting.
- Duration 3:53
- Date Oct 29, 2012
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Generation Opportunity President Paul Conway on the trends of youth voting.
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We've talked a lot about the youth vote on this program we are trying to understand why young people vote so heavily for the president.
I'll give you thirty seconds right from the get go give me thirty seconds on why.
New graduates.
Should vote for President Obama and how can they not vote for President Obama.
Well that was a young Obama supporter but we also ask the young Republicans.
The younger generations look at certain issues and they say -- -- -- support gay marriage therefore I have to support the president but we're not balancing our budget.
Marriage should not be the number one issue in this country we have to balance our budget the younger generation of time would vote more -- social side and rather fiscal side we have to make them understand the fiscal issues.
Joining us now is Paul Conway president of generation opportunity also -- -- slap in the Labor Department Paul welcome back to the show.
You know this this notion that young people -- automatically you know there's sort of also excited about the president automatically.
Give their vote away to Democrats despite the wrong.
Economic conditions and circumstance.
That.
Why doesn't that seem to change the even though the numbers seem to have gotten worse in the last four years for young people the better.
-- -- -- -- there are some changes that are underway that are pretty fundamental there three surveys ever came out late August that are important.
The most recent one is the New York Times had the president 53% Mitt Romney a 45%.
The Service Employees International Union poll had the president 49% -- young people.
Mitt Romney a 41 in the other one the -- tersely Zogby which had the president 49 and again Mitt Romney at 41.
The variation in the vote the swing vote in this demographic is about five to 8%.
Now what's interesting here is we talk about college students -- they may skew a little bit more towards the president.
But this demographic has.
Young professionals.
Parents and those who are non college in addition to college students.
It's -- rate now the real news is this.
In 2008 the president had 66% of this -- -- -- running at 53 is the largest drop according to Gallup that any incumbent president has ever had.
With -- age demographic especially young voter.
Well you know where this also goes -- is when you talk about that swaying.
You have the change for the youth that look at their unemployment rate.
The unemployment rate if you graduated when the president was voted in or even since then continues to rise among young people can you talk about young families.
Those are the people that -- know.
Or little upward mobility in their future and they look at their their look at their pocketbooks as far as the younger people.
One of the issues is that the Republicans have not done as good a job explain in the fiscal message to them in that it's not about your next year or your next credit card bill.
It's about the next five to ten years -- your life.
And that gets you into your late twenties in your early thirty.
It's.
We take a look at this demographic group Roy you're exactly right so we are looking at all eighteen to 29 year old 76% of them.
Indicate that they believe that the lack of full time meaningful jobs are shrinking the American middle class that's a key driver as we get into states like Ohio.
In Colorado in Ohio alone yet five point six million people vote in 2008.
And of that number -- over 600000 of them.
That are young voters about 953000.
Is the exact number.
-- as we go into this final seven days a lot of those folks are trying to decide on debt health care in these other issues that have been put forward.
But for them the most important issue or full time jobs the other thing -- interesting here will be the role of get out the vote.
In over problem -- young adults think that FaceBook messaging 59% of -- think that's more effective than phone calls which a lot of people are still doing at only 18%.
Well you know on that and -- where they're probably right -- on the other scores good to see that young people coming around to understand.
And -- -- you know what all the ideology -- young it's fantastic but the economy hit -- solve all thanks a lot we really appreciate it some stunning numbers from you and I wrote most them down we'll see you soon.
Okay thank you very much --