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For more on these poll numbers the final twelve days of the presidential campaign.
In what appears to be a commitment on the president's part to be as nasty as required to prevail former bush senior advisor Karl Rove Karl good to have you with us.
I have to say I'm astounded first of -- by the fact that there is no longer there is no more gender gap.
-- can we can we take that was polls as being accurate.
Look they'll continue to be gender gap -- will be.
Strong for Romney women will be strong for Obama the question is how big those -- are.
I think that AP poll was an outline -- -- but look let's step back from that you touched on a very important point.
The raft of recent polling that -- say you know what how the president thinks he's got a -- is beyond me.
In the last week as -- 5 o'clock today in the last seven days -- -- 35 national polls.
President Obama has been at 50%.
Or better in one of 35 polls governor Romney has been at or above 50% in.
In eleven of the 35 and if you average all these polls together some was good but methodology somewhat not so -- methodology.
It is 4834.
Romney 46 point eight for President Obama the president is behind he's behind in virtually all of these polls.
And that's not where you -- -- be going in the last twelve days of the race as incumbent because the undecideds are likely to break for the challenger.
And the people who are against you are more likely to be disposed to go to the polls -- people -- for -- because the people against you are all -- up in a close race like this.
Women have shifted towards the other have.
That's -- independents have shifted strongly.
Toward the governor.
How profound is -- how.
What will be its impact on the election will look a huge because look at -- in the last election.
President Obama got a higher percentage of the democratic vote to John McCain did that is to say.
Obama took more of a -- more Republicans to vote for him he got a higher percentage -- Among Democrats and a higher percentage among Republicans than Democrats -- -- traditionally do this time around we know that.
Romney is gonna get as high -- percentage among Republicans as Obama gets among Democrats.
And an end and -- since September since early September have showed president.
Obama losing independents two governor Romney after winning them by eight points in 2000 and and it's an eight -- if you look at in the individual -- individual battleground states.
I put this on my website today pull up at polling news and notes on my website -- dot com.
If you look at the battleground states the president is today.
Roughly seven points below where he was in those battleground states on average.
Four years ago which which means he's got big defections independents and their -- and is no -- And they are they're responsible for the lead the president governor Romney has in the presidential race.
All of the states fascinate me Carlos -- the battleground states.
But -- particular to that -- -- Ohio which has.
Here and there is a massive advantage for President Obama.
Given the the schools and universities or colleges in Ohio the union and the organization the Democratic Party in that state.
I he would the president does lead tied in the most recent poll.
Can it can governor Romney reasonably expect to prevail in Ohio.
Yes he can't because look we -- the incumbent president your numbers your number if you're stuck at 47 or 48.
The undecideds are gonna break against you keeping you at that number in the and that and the and the adherents of the other guy -- detractors.
Are more likely to turn out so I've -- my suspicious is if if we find ourselves ten days from now -- and into the final weekend.
Governor Romney at 48.
President Obama at 4849.
They governor Romney's gonna come out with a narrow victory because president Obama's not gonna -- boost that number.
He needs to be at or above 50%.
And most polls and -- to be comfortable go in an election a final poll and Gallup I believe in 200453%.
Bush got 51.
But let's turn to the the UBS comment by the president.
And the increased.
Well just outright nastiness on the part of the president.
-- is governor Romney handling this in the correct way.
What what are your thoughts about it it's -- early on precedent.
It really -- -- that is not just the president it's his people yesterday David -- senior White House advisor called.
Governor Romney a liar three times you you remember the final debate the president went out of his way to claim that.
Governor Romney was not telling the truth about the president's position on the status of forces agreement are claiming the president presents an odd I -- wanna leave troops behind what about it if you have a status of forces agreement.
It's about the forces that you leave behind and then at the close of the debate he was very emphatic not once not twice but three times.
That -- governor Romney was not tell the truth about the auto -- and and what and how we wanted federal guarantees at the end of prepackaged bankruptcy so let's they're gonna try and suggest that that governor Romney is completely untrustworthy that comment about have been -- -- BS curable as essar.
Is is really.
Not worthy of the office of the that that the president holds and I don't think it's gonna do any thing.
To make -- more attracted to the voters true up for grabs if anything.
I look we may look back into weeks and say the debates gave Romney -- good boost.
Real big boost to the polls and then a little bit after burner was turned on when the president got so ugly and so nasty and sold childish.
I mean this is a kind of -- you say in a schoolyard.
Karl Rove back.
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