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Marist Institute for Public Opinion Director Lee Miringoff discusses the latest polling data ahead of the Presidential election.
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Three weeks away from the election the candidates -- in a virtual dead heat.
Real clear politics that has an average of all of the polls last week it has present a -- on governor Romney tied up 47 dead even.
-- the company now is -- marrying off he's with the Marist institute for public opinion joins us from Marist College.
They.
What do I ask you about in tunnel -- that the internal polling techniques.
Seems to me that you guys you pulses.
You don't capture enthusiasm.
You don't capture the likely turn -- you -- ask questions about it but you can't tell me that -- How many people are actually gonna vote for Romney all vote for Obama you you can't tell me that Kenya.
No I think we actually can pretty well I mean that's the whole purpose of these polls we do model -- likely voters and we do see.
That the enthusiasm for Mitt Romney supporters.
Is X above that for Obama -- Not just enthusiasm though is what drives voters to the polls but -- much rather have it on your side of the equation that not so yes we do ask about that we do see the difference.
And we see it.
To Romney's advantage in terms of enthusiasm but the whole purposes of this is to determine who it'll likely voters and and we do all kinds of of gymnastics to try to figure that out.
In terms of asking a lot of questions and trying to a look at that very closely so that's a critical aspect and we are seeing that the race has gotten closer.
Which makes sense it.
Is this a -- he says getting close up that so Romney is pulling back a little is he's pulling out closer to adopt to President Obama and is some -- of passing him.
Is that the state -- -- flat out the result of the debate well.
-- if what went on patent makes the short answer is yes the longer answer is that the race is one where Obama had a slight edge so the coming down of Obama as a result of -- performance that the -- lackluster performance that the debate.
I mean that's what's done this stick change the structure of this race right now and they get in essence a tossup nationally which you site in the real clear cut -- politics numbers that we do see that but here's the -- -- -- -- -- this.
Most people have made up their minds so only 567%.
Of those who we talked to in three battleground states after the debate.
Told us it was as a result of the -- debate that they have since made up their mind.
Romney gets about two for every one that Obama gets so that's where the closing of the -- -- but not a huge change we're not talking 51015.
Point we're talking -- points and a close race back make all the differ.
Can you share with -- any internal polling results that -- -- -- since the vice presidential debate -- I don't think you come out with a full national poll yet but.
I'm pretty sure you must have been asking some questions after that the debate.
Any input from you on back.
But we haven't actually been polling on that we're about to go into two more states Wisconsin.
And Iowa what -- going to be pulling those shortly to get it to get a sense of those two critical states.
But the VP debates in themselves are probably more for the entertainment value and for all of us political junkies and they don't tend to move a lot of -- -- I'm not to show what what I was looking and a vice presidential debate I was a little troubled by.
Joseph Biden's demeanor.
I wasn't looking at -- for the content of what he was saying just an average -- looking at this there's something troubling about a man who smiles and laughs.
We talk about Iran getting a nuke.
You don't think about might affect people.
There's no to yes it doesn't it affects the standing -- and with people but when it comes down to -- this next debate.
In Hofstra University.
The town -- debate is just going to be absolutely critical much more -- then the VP debate look.
Obama and Biden have had spinal problems Obama was lackluster and -- lack of energy and a pot and Biden was over the top so could it -- on both sides of the equation I'm sure the Euro bonds I'd like to add them up the performance up and divide by two -- get a steady energetic personnel.
Lead narrowing off will -- -- come back and see as we want your results with fascinated by these debates in the impact on the electrically amount -- who want thank you very much and it's -- -- story.
