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'Special Report' host Bret Baier weighs in on the latest Pew poll on who voters most identify with.
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While -- got -- one not to go before the election Mitt Romney has jumped out to a four -- -- point lead over President Obama.
In a poll of likely voters -- by pew research the president -- eight percentage point lead just last month.
The turnaround coming after that first debate what to make a bit Bret -- will tell you -- that's a special report on the Fox News Channel he is joining us live from DC Brett.
Is this -- turnaround to be believed is this a one off it.
Does this this does not normally happen after debate performance.
-- -- -- -- and good morning it is rare very rare to see this kind of shift.
In a debate after a debate it is very rare to see this kind of shift in one poll this pew poll believe it or not was.
Talked about by conservatives by Republicans as being one that Dave just didn't like they were discounting at the beginning just last month saying.
-- you know this thing is over the top it's it's just not indicative of what we're seeing out there on the ground.
And now this pew poll is something that they'd love how this is how polls.
Go.
And what we're seeing according to the pollsters were talking to and according to guys that we we talked to every week like Karl Rove and Joseph -- Our independence.
You know what you have to remember about polls is that there are snapshots in time.
So you get this call okay and they say.
Which party do you most identify with right now right this second -- are you Republican -- a Democrat.
Which party do you most identify with right now.
So if you're an independent do you most identify with the Republicans now do you most identify with the Democrats so then you have this shifting kind of models that starts to impact.
What you or.
Entire model looks like as far as Democrats and Republicans for each individual poll and few.
Came out with this poll being about plus three Republican.
And these numbers are really really -- -- -- -- -- -- -- It not to exclude this Paul but clearly Mitt Romney had an advantage coming out of that debate.
What is going to be the most critical thing for him.
It this week in in the coming few weeks -- will indeed voter turnout on the Republican side will it be ad buying.
Will -- be the actual ads themselves which had been pour.
To say the least in many instances what will -- -- Paul Ryan's performance what's the most critical thing for him.
It's probably his own performance in the last two debates arguably Paul Ryan in this vice presidential debate is not big on.
On the scale of things I think a lot of people will watch it because will be interest -- -- wanna see.
How Paul Ryan stacks up against Joseph Biden -- want to see how Joseph Biden does in reaction to.
-- was arguably a kind of a lack luster performance from President Obama will Joseph Biden -- the onus of kind of trying to come out of the gates really forcefully and what does that do in that persona of Joseph Biden.
As far as a debate environment.
I think this format.
Which is the same format that you saw on the first debate.
Will enable some back and forth and some fireworks so that's why this debate this week is very -- and but the town hall debate is next for the president's.
Debate for the president presidential debate.
Format in new York and then you have foreign policy debates so it's really Mitt Romney's debate performance and campaigning in all these battleground state would.
About on the president's side is it also the most critical thing for him his debate performance sores are they focused on something completely different.
Well I think they're focused on the spending and -- get out the vote effort.
They have infrastructure that they've spent a lot a lot of money on and you see he's still out campaigning.
Trying to raise money because there is a machine that costs a lot of money to -- A lot of offices around the country to try to churn out those voters on Election Day.
You know the economy while some and you all talk about it all the time some quarters are doing better like housing prices -- there are.
Some shaky.
Parts of the economy that.
You know as we get closer to Election Day one months from today.
That's a lot of what the Obama campaign is watching.
Very shaky and some places Brett happy anniversary.
-- thank you very much because I follow Brad on Twitter as you -- failures if you down congratulations to beautiful boys and very beautiful wife -- you can watch -- every weeknight at 6 PM eastern time.
Right I don't mean to speaking out it's like a no -- too much about.
Issuer does hair -- -- does that the risk that.
Cathy recommended that problem by our house and they're out and then it's a personality as well just it and that it ends the threat thank you for being.
