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Correspondent.
Presidential daily tracking polls today also or well casting something of a different picture of the race for the White House.
Gallup showing in fact President Obama stretching -- leave fifty to 44 over governor Romney.
This is the poll from Rasmussen shows the candidates locked in a dead heat at 46%.
Joining me now to break down these numbers and the methodology of the -- Fox News digital politics senator Chris -- Walt.
And Republican strategist and former member of George W Bush's senior staff.
Brian Blackman good to have you gentlemen here let me begin with you Brad.
Are -- Republicans seem to be taking refuge in the idea that there's bad methodology there's really lousy.
Sampling.
In these.
Polls.
Are these polls -- in fact questionable.
Well we'll know as soon enough but I happen -- think they aren't and one of the reasons why say that Lou is because.
The modeling is being done on numbers.
Like 2008.
Where we had a very high turnout obviously for Obama yet the enthusiasm for Republicans is is not taken into account.
In these polls because we have a more enthusiastic base and the president's so I don't know how you can have it one way where they're using the modeling of a turn -- -- 2000 all right.
Yet they're saying enthusiasm for the Republicans is all -- not.
-- pick a poll which one do you think is the most accurate right now given your -- your reservations.
I think real clear politics probably has the the most accurate information I also which -- people look at our Larry -- those crystal ball.
Affect our and -- are -- your thoughts are these polls so flawed fatally and do -- are they in fact questionable.
Well first let me say it.
Brad you know the correct answer is B Fox News poll is the got a portal to look -- for his goodness sakes.
We assume that that we obviously we assume that it stipulated in evidence.
Now look -- polls are.
Polls are not predictive polls are snapshots it's sort of like trying to find.
Big foot out in the wilderness you get a lot of different pictures of the same thing and then people disagree about what's -- there.
What's going on in these polls he's quinnipiac does a heck of a good job polling they have a very good track record.
And first of all the thing that you want to look at in a poll like that.
Isn't what the top line number is because that this is not a football game that's not the score and that's what -- if I may say Chris.
There is not a broadcast without end.
-- -- you kidding I out of your partner at.
Yes here's what I can tell you.
Methodology is okay because what they're doing our -- -- before they are wobble and they are Burton putting forward a picture that's in your judgment.
At least intellectually rigorous if not entirely perfect.
-- so we should.
Look at these as being reasonable snapshots.
Yes and we should also remember the Republicans always outperform polls that's what history tells us is that Republicans felt with greater frequency and regularity and Democrat or Republicans ought to be delighted this year than Brad because they're going to have -- according to these most recent polls after outperform.
In -- significant way and I think and we look at Ohio as we put up those numbers on those.
-- those swing states war Virginia Ohio and how for crying out loud we're talking double digit leads.
And the governor Sarah shows the president I'm.
We look at those polls say it's stunning stop.
Well I think what Romney needs to do in places like Ohio is it is yes go directly the people one way you do that is not true.
Thirty or 62 commercials I believe he should by state time in the next -- coming weeks for fifteen minute.
Infomercials and and really get down.
To the nitty gritty of why people should make the choice between Obama or Romney I also believe that he should be speaking.
It's serious venues get away from the rallies and talk.
To.
You know the Cincinnati chamber of commerce he should be excuse me -- Wait a minute wait -- -- that Brad and all due respect.
That would be an electric moment -- electoral history that is if he were to booked for the chamber cop -- I ever are respected judgment mightily but that -- What we need you -- -- -- serious people its series venues to talk about policy you're not gonna get that across -- rally.
-- not gonna get that across the people in a thirty or 62 sound -- Well the polls I mean do they agree at least on the strengths and the weaknesses do they reveal that.
You talk about the seriousness of a moment in which it's captured from before free media.
But the reality is that there are strengths and weaknesses it seems.
It work here otherwise there would be I suppose.
Outright tie between the two Chris are there are strings are very good -- are that are.
Are being revealed here weaknesses being revealed all these polls.
And here's something to keep very much in mind here's how the electorate looks different than 2008.
And 2010 and all these guys are I don't wanna be Burkhardt -- -- turnabout for the electorate I was talking about the strengths and the weaknesses yes the two candidates.
Quite so and -- and here's the strength if your Mitt Romney independents are up.
Lot more independents and Romney wins with independence that's the key to the election for him.
Is that independence -- are tracking his way like continue to be on his side.
And and that's and that's confirmed across the broad range of these rather desperate our results -- we're -- from all his fault.
Yes as you look at the overall picture you see Romney continues to perform well with independents the president has solidified his base Romney's base has been with them all along.
That the independence continued ever Romney lead and that's the best.
Piece of news from -- Robert.
And Brad going into your point following -- with where Chris is just sat.
-- the question becomes with your good counsel and out of others luminaries in the Republican Party.
The governor seems to be lacking one bank and that is a unified chorus decided.
And surrounding him.
Our whether it's coming from Boehner -- previously head of the Republican National Committee.
The senate and the congressional committees there is not one if you will foundation that has been created by the party.
For the Romney boys to the American people.
And and you're you're actually right but it yet to -- people vote for Mitt Romney and it's gonna come down to him being able to communicate the message don't know I understand them but I also -- they had to rally the Republican Party.
Continues at this rate with some of the nonsense that's coming out -- now home districts rather than.
Capitol Hill -- from state -- senators.
Held forth with a great view on his own personal.
Foreign policy.
Values.
I mean -- -- this is tough stock for the governor to stomach isn't.
While it is an end when you're having.
A little spat with the a governor of the important state of Ohio is to what the messaging should be the messaging should be that Obama doesn't get the credit.
For Ohio doing so well that bad economy it's a Republican governor using Republican principles and if I -- Mitt Romney I would I would have to -- -- Out there heralding the good work that he did as Republican governor.
And it does.
-- with everything that is going on in this economy.
With all of the foreign policy disasters.
If -- at the bit of thought of this at the -- of this president.
Are.
I mean does -- President Obama had any weakness in this campaign whatsoever Chris and that we have to wrap up.
Massive and it is debt.
Deficit size of government role of government in the American life occasionally Mitt Romney.
Ax like that's what he's really gonna talk -- -- he's been talking about an Ohio it's his very best issue.
Size of government debt and deficit and he's looks like he might pick up that meat -- and start swing and it.
We'll see -- -- sustain it for six weeks.
Spread -- Chris Farrell Thelma thank you very much -- much more on the -- -- presidential election.
These polls will be talking.
