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Scott Rasmussen of Rasmussen Reports breaks down the latest polling data ahead of the election.
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But what about drew the programme repulsive stuff residues in the morning distressed -- -- -- to apologize for being late.
But I've lost the world to discipline myself.
You'd you'd just weren't apparent I didn't sort of broker pay -- not these polls before talk about what there's reflect.
I know the polls that you're -- curb fairly accurate.
Historical and soul but do they.
Want to mr.
-- -- -- -- course I know they reflect.
That's elements of the people who you poll.
But do you think.
-- accurately reflect the settlements.
All of the greater electric.
At this point in the election season.
The polls are a little bit volatile because of the election still six weeks sorely.
But they do general and replace the larger electorate that it's for the way things are right now.
Having said that.
The -- today don't necessarily tell us what things will be like six weeks because there's a few debates there's -- events in the Middle East there's economic news and other things that could change the numbers.
And and do -- thank.
Other people are honest review.
Once you convince people that you're really taking a certain -- and you were not trying to sell them something they're very honest with you.
We know this because.
But the result compared to pull through election results in the past we know because we measure and ask about consumer behavior -- -- those results.
-- is what we talked about what we ask people get a mobile phone we've got people have to rate their marriage in new alternative other things at once you get.
Past those initial questions people are happy to have someone who cares about what they have.
Do you phrase the question.
When your -- -- moderates -- marriage.
Let's terms as part of a series of questions -- we simply ask them to rate whether the state of their marriages excellent good fair or for.
And what we find these people Linear ones -- -- everything's great.
And then in years two through five -- an awful lot of people who say it's really poor.
And by year's six sudden -- starts to -- beauty starts to head towards the middle thanks so those who support no longer married.
Some of those who were ecstatic can hear one say that's still -- Okay let's talk -- -- and national calls president in the governor telling.
The race for president is about a close is it should be our latest tracking poll shows Obama at 47%.
From the 46 when he push those undecided that -- -- even at 48%.
Three states are really -- in the Electoral College Ohio Virginia and Florida.
Did all three of them the president -- has about one or two point lead so very slightly in in Obama's favor right now.
California on -- one -- governor Sports Illustrated subscription.
I don't foreign -- sucks I was gonna have to wonder governor of swimsuit additional sports Illustrated's.
That must just -- -- one amusing that you.
Net so well not how -- -- the -- about a -- swing states.
Ohio.
President is up by just one point he has been consistently doing better and Ohio than people expected.
I think the reason for that is partly the you have.
But he auto bailout he's been using -- very effectively and partly.
Mitt Romney has been struggling to connect with white working class -- -- wonder why people still support.
The president and we have.
Well essentially -- horrible economy.
From did you ask himself what time.
Sure.
The Democrats strongly support the president they think is health care plan was great that he and his economic plan was -- And 71%.
Of Democrats right now believe the economy is getting better.
Businesses.
In -- there was a perception of the economy's -- Republicans -- very strongly Democrats just say it's not true.
This is a correction of see that somebody could win the popular vote.
And but but and a -- -- all electoral votes and what are your honor.
Obvious political remains this close.
You know I everybody is trying to figure our restructure our pro what do -- -- will look like.
Aren't today's numbers it -- Terry members held true the president would win both the popular vote and the Electoral College.
But I'm I'm not convinced that this is gonna be as close as it is right now on Election Day.
That well there's.
Next week the debates come up than it is quite possible but one of these guys you'll say something really stupid and lose you know two -- three points in the vote.
If that happens it will be hard to correct.
And it could shape the race.
Also praised the Middle East could shake up the race their very it's very emotional abuse either and ambassador being dragged through respect of foreign capital -- C -- An American flag burning that could shake things up.
And also the economy has been.
Doing well enough.
-- that people don't think there are worse off than they were four years ago they don't think they're better off if the next couple reports give people some bad news.
That could change as well.
So did just in what -- to -- us.
-- who -- us.
If the election were held right now today.
Barack Obama would win I think there is more risk to him there's more.
Chances of him losing ground in the next few weeks.
Then.
That President Obama but -- anybody tells you they know who's gonna win or things that -- -- just lying to your deluding themselves.
Our version archived version been -- good sport I apologize -- -- -- Well I'll get a better -- next time Harmon thank you Scott Rasmussen -- -- elements allow us.
