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Why Romney Needs to Be Concerned About the Election

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  • Description

    Greg Valliere of Potomac Research Group gives his outlook for the election.

  • Duration 3:09
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And it is six weeks to the election and the real clear politics dot com average of all the polls together have President Obama leading Mitt Romney.

By just over three and a half percentage points we -- joined by Greg -- -- chief political strategist for the Potomac research group and Greg.

Is it already over from Electoral College standpoint you -- like Obama just about there.

Please just about there -- Jersey getting to 270 if you add in Iowa where he's well ahead if you add in Ohio worries a little bit ahead.

You're awfully close to points -- -- -- I think that do run -- -- has to be really concerned number one is voting is already started.

And about a third of the vote will be done before.

November sex so even if he does well in the debates he's got to factor that in the other point is this that.

An unusually low number of voters are still undecided in some polls under 10% so even if Romney wins 60%.

Of the undecideds that still may not be enough.

Now -- Wall Street know this -- Wall Street already now baked and Obama's gonna -- I think so I mean everybody looks it in trade -- I think in -- been too extreme in their odds frankly.

But everybody who looks at.

That to seven the number has to conclude the path is easier for Obama I think what Wall Street also was factoring in is that the Republicans will do pretty.

Pretty well in the senate and the house so you'll get a checks and balances -- type of environment.

-- checks and balances there yeah -- And does it look like Romney's gonna lose Florida -- he's got got some decaying support among the elderly and if he loses Florida it's over right.

We can go to bed by 103011 o'clock on election night if he loses Florida that's still way too close to call but.

It's safe to say that the Romney ticket is in trouble in Florida -- and I think that the I trumping every other issue is Medicare and a lot of senior citizens don't realize that this would only affect people under the age of 55.

Now argue astounded that Romney is managing to lose this thing given that we have a president and incumbent presiding over the worst recovery in modern history.

-- what I -- -- so I had a speech last Tuesday night in John Boehner is home district in Cincinnati.

And people who know Boehner came up to me after my speech -- -- what the hell is wrong with Romney's campaign -- be losing to this guy.

It's a complicated question I don't think the candidate is an all -- great.

But the campaign is made mistake after mistake.

Well and what about the tax situation now you know Romney on sixty minutes Obama on sixty minutes.

A lot of what Romney said about 47% not paying any federal income tax turned out to be true.

It's true but it's really hurting in the state like Ohio you could almost feel Ohio starting to slip away it's a very blue collar state.

A lot of people there who do depend on government.

I I agree that that's an issue that should be raised the problem is Mitt Romney is probably not for best messenger to raise that issue.

Yet even he last -- that it's not a campaign problem is that sometimes it's a candidate problem and as one political actually he is undisciplined.

Thank you very much Greg about.

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