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Obama Getting a Convention Boost in Polls?

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    FNC Digital Politics Editor Chris Stirewalt on the Presidential campaign.

  • Duration 5:44
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This transcript is automatically generated

Now Fox News.

Digital politics senator Chris firewall Chris good to have you here.

Five points this looks pretty formidable it looks slow like it's for real doesn't this bounce out of the convention.

Well 567.

But it still wouldn't be that nine that George W.

Bush -- and 2000 and or don't work like back Chris that the don't be like -- I'm sorry to be a party -- mr.

dobbs I apologize but that's the truth the truth is that.

In this race.

Things have not yet Kenji yield.

We talk about this small number of undecided voters -- you talk about the independent voters a great deal.

There's a lot of change ability in this race.

-- when you look at how this stacks up.

You have certainly.

An advantage for Obama as you head into the home -- he's the incumbent.

He is spent thirty or forty million dollars a month pouring out scorn on Mitt Romney's personality and character.

He has run the most singularly.

Negative campaign of any incumbent.

Probably Baird well certainly in the modern era you may have to reach back until revolution or post revolutionary times to find somebody that was this negative.

That's had some good effect but well Mitt Romney lives he's still alive and the -- the races this.

All of the economic numbers that you talk about it all of the things that you say.

I doubt that any bounce that President Obama receives unless -- some shocking.

1213 fourteen point bounce.

Will abide with them instead what we expect to see is that this race will get back to where was which is a tie going into the first debate on October 3.

There are some strange.

Ancillary developments here though is well Senator John McCain.

For whatever reason.

Finding himself moved to say that irrespective of which ever party is elected and on November 6.

He he sees.

This striking possibility.

That the fiscal cliff will be resolved no matter which man is selected.

John McCain taking note that governor Romney has high unfavorable us.

How much more support like this can governor -- Prices -- market.

Well -- the people who lose elections.

In the previous cycle do tend offer some advice to the people in the subsequent cycle it's understandable but.

But here's the deal the fiscal cliff will be dealt way.

-- now is a big question.

And even if it was dealt with retroactively you have to wonder about the uncertainty and you all talk about -- a great deal here.

About how that affects business and investment between now and say January.

The other thing is this who wins has a great deal of influence on what the resolution will be yes Senator McCain is certainly right.

That there will be something done but what.

And it depends on what the constitution of the senate as it depends on who the president is -- all of those things so yes it's true in the larger sense but.

Obviously Senator McCain is not in an ideal position.

To offer advice to -- follow on as the Republican nominating.

We might even have.

Unsolicited council but but the fact is nonetheless proper -- is -- is we look at what is happening here ago.

Governor Romney still is not in anywhere near closing the deal.

He has.

President whose policies as you pointed out in your most recent column.

This is a man -- unpopular with his handling -- the economy.

He has relatively until recently a relatively low approval rating -- -- -- -- or -- 50%.

In the latest Gallup read.

But the fact is governor Romney.

Is not.

Yet appealing to the middle class it seems.

I he's talking very airway if I may -- -- of productivity and trade and the debt.

But my god.

And most Americans.

I would something I can safely say wanna talk about prosperity and jobs what does it look like and feel like what is it going to be year.

And how's -- gonna get us there.

And you being you and this telecast being yours you May Day but I will say this.

When you get to this this moment so basically you have these two PowerPoint presentations that have gone on for two weeks that remind decent.

Honorable Americans who do their very best to avoid politics at every turn that now is the time that do people have to make a decision.

When that happens mr.

dobbs.

Then they say okay I'm going to pay attention I think there's a large persuade -- number inside Obama's number it's not just about the small number of undecideds.

But the number of who said this will stick with the incumbent because everything is terrible and all choices are terrible so we'll stick with the incumbent.

The big moment comes in Denver.

On October 3 when they have that first debate when Mitt Romney -- -- on the stage in Denver either he will be plausibly presidential.

And could experience a substantial rise or he will not and he will experience -- substantial fall.

That's just the deal and there's nothing that Mitt Romney can do about it he stayed alive to this point that it's irrefutable when you get to October 3 that's when the rubber meets the road.

-- reduce -- with the prospect of it being expansionary.

I -- all of mister Starr Walter you talk big about.

With in in your usual language of the big -- The prospect of the conventions and what would happen then.

We're done with that and now we must await the first debate this is tiresome thing these campaigns waiting for the exactly the right moment the right event.

But we're -- -- stay with you Chris because we have found -- productive to do so throughout we appreciate it should -- -- here.

Mr.

dobbs we will abide with the -- about with -- we appreciate you.

Occurs I feel like we've all been to well there were politics like it's a church -- -- are well --

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