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President Obama's campaign in a tough spot a poll by the hill asked is the US and better shape now than it was four years ago.
54% of likely voters said things -- worse and only 31%.
Said things are better.
With reaction here's Colorado former deputy assistant of president George W.
Bush and -- Fox News considered joining us from -- not get a lot up.
road it's good to see you.
If that's the case what that poll shows then why are President Obama admit Romney essentially in a dead heat if you look at all the polls put together.
Well -- Obama's income of the nation is narrowly divided.
And it's going to be a close race the interesting thing as the president -- not been able to get above 4647%.
In the national polls he's -- incumbents better known it's unlikely that the undecideds are gonna break his way and you know you write the numbers -- -- -- Unemployment higher.
A long term unemployment higher.
And -- growth worst recovery since World War II but it's not just that it's also this that the -- in the economy today is below what the president told us it would be.
This year and last year economic growth is going to be about half of what the administration forecasted.
Unemployment today as 40% higher than they told us they would be if we pass a stimulus bill affect.
Unemployment is higher today -- the administration forecast if we did nothing and did pass a stimulus bill.
And us let's say it's understandable you see the numbers as you see in the hill -- -- numbers and other polls that show that two out of every three American.
Think the president's economic policies have either not helped -- actually hurt the economy.
You talk about the policies you talk about unemployment talk about the promises that were made Karl.
It in terms of all the economic numbers -- people can look at gas prices -- ever Labor Day weekend.
They're -- now in north at three dollars and eight cents a gallon nationwide.
The highest ever for this time a year but you look at the stock market the stock market since inauguration day at least the Dow -- About 60%.
Under president Obama's leadership that's best first term performance cents.
Dwight Eisenhower so what do people look at Carl -- there's some good numbers out there.
You won't get there there are some good -- numbers in the stock market is probably the biggest one but I'll -- the biggest number the people.
May not be able to quantify but the biggest number that has an impact is.
Personal incomes and median family income in a recovery.
Has dropped from roughly 55000 dollars per family of four.
The 51000 dollars debt that has a huge depressing impact.
Even -- people who are employed and it adds to the angst about the unemployment -- -- -- got eight point 3% unemployment.
Even if -- even if you're employed if you're making less secure -- -- -- simply not keeping up.
Then did you feel of it even higher degree ranks of those two numbers more than outweigh the good number of the stock market.
Did the Republicans do a good enough job last week Carl convincing people convincing Americans you think.
Business Mitt Romney didn't really get much of a bounce at least according to the Gallup home.
Did they do good enough job -- here's what the future's gonna look like under -- -- and look at back four years.
Well a look at that commission is it is is one event of many and yes they did a good job I had to I'd quit a little bit about the balance first call there's only the second modern.
The second time in modern American politics really commissions -- -- back to back normally what happens is.
We take polls a week or two in advance of the convention when -- named the vice presidential nominee we have the convention and then and the week afterwards the American people have time to digest the convention.
And they then.
Give their verdict in public polls -- we have no break between these two conventions and back to back.
So I think a better way to look at it this is what -- the polls real clear politics average before.
Robbie picked Ryan and it was roughly close to 4% down for Romney and where were they at the end of the Republican Convention there was essentially dead even.
I think that's an indication what kind of -- there was but there's going to be a very difficult situation.
The major -- for either party simply because although the conventions are back to back only the second time -- I can find a modern.
American politics where that's happened.
Is -- danger getting out raised this with you before -- vote our own way across the board whether you're right laughter somewhere in the middle.
Well look if there is -- the president is not gonna want that to happen because.
The people who are sort of fired up -- ready to go Lizzie old expression many -- 2008.
Are the Republicans and the conservatives in the not Obama voters there all the majors and enthusiasm.
-- there's a big gap between the president's supporters.
And and -- isn't -- in his -- -- opponents more enthusiastic more likely to vote and we're likely to see that play out in the next couple weeks.
I'm riding my column for Thursday for the Wall Street Journal about a very important group critical -- the president's election last time around.
Young people who gave him a big margin last time around but are not gonna give as big -- margin this time around and more importantly are not as likely to turn out to vote.
Thereby costing him perhaps millions of votes.
-- is great to see I can't wait to read that when you're down there and Charlotte it lots of barbecued and that's -- -- already hang.
Red and white lost -- look for.
Carl thank you caller join us from shall not gonna.
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