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Obama Still Leading In Polls Heading Into August

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    Marist College Polls Director Lee Miringoff on polling between Obama and Romney.

  • Duration 3:59
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All the indicators point to one thing the economic recovery clearly slowing down GDP's annual growth -- half percent that's it unemployment still above 8%.

But President Obama is still ahead in many polls a corner the latest fall from Marist McClatchy that is not -- -- The president leads Mitt Romney 4846.

While that is within them onto the Barack Obama is still ahead.

-- marrying off from the Marist institute for public opinion joins the company now mentally I've got to question for you.

-- -- Why is President Obama still leading in most polls will -- neck and neck.

When the economic news has been so bad.

And the second question is why has there been no breakout -- -- candidates in any direction thus -- that in a couple of months.

Question one for us why is -- -- Obama's deleting.

Well I think -- there's several factors.

You know people think that he largely inherited the economic problems.

That the worst may be behind us even though they think things are somewhat stalled so I think on the economy to very mixed picture.

And you know he may have a narrow edge in some of these states but it's.

All its forty something to forty something they don't fifties out there.

And so I think this is indeed a very close election I think you might see it changed when the polls go from registered voters after -- Labor Day -- would likely voters which tend to be a little bit more -- Republican look at things so I think right now all things being equal the best characterization is racism.

Is that it is a out as close as -- can -- So now let me get this -- -- the Marist poll you use registered voters at this point at this point and then when we get a little closer after the conventions.

We'll switch over -- likely voters having some other polls.

May be already doing that he generally sees some of the -- two more Republican because of the way to turn out goes.

Have been more Republican so I think the conclusion that needs to be -- is not only is our numbers with in the error margin but knowing that fifteen so by it.

By any means this is any calculations -- is indeed a very close race.

Now Lee Scott Rasmussen is whether this is on the company today I'm sure you've heard what he's got to say earlier after he uses you use they likely voters and that's an important distinction.

Is that our numbers are showing pretty much the same thing we don't know but it's a shift will be 2345 points because of the of the likely voters -- All I wanna ask both lay and -- -- if its you're unlikely -- Doesn't that skew in this election at this point more towards Republicans.

Bent towards Democrats it seems like Republicans in this election.

Have they're pretty intense they really want to vote so uphold it goes would likely vote is likely skews towards Mitt Romney.

-- -- -- -- -- -- the enthusiasm in our numbers is pretty even but that having been said I think you do see a slight.

Republican swing it as as Scott indicated might be a couple points.

-- that makes this thing even close enough as it is right now so I think anyway you slice the numbers.

It's closer to that not only nationally we've seen in all of our battleground state polls.

So that is indeed the picture and both -- -- just spending tons of money.

Making sure that you don't like the other candidate and I think that that's one of the things that we're seeing is that why hasn't anybody busted out anywhere and I think.

Because they're both well pulled campaigns.

They know what they're trying to accomplish and they're trying to make.

On that Romney's side this a referendum on the incumbent Obama.

And Obama's trying to make you feel that Romney's not the answer -- can't trust and they'll both messages -- sort of canceling each other out right now that's why we haven't seen any movement at all.

Last word to you Scott.

Democrats are more excited about their candidates -- Republicans but Republicans are more interested in the election.

In the interest in the campaign is the best indicator of turnout that's why there's -- -- -- for the GOP has just fascinating I it really is -- -- -- stuff Natalie narrowing off always a pleasure thanks for joining us are coming tenancy is within the next 99 days at least one.

Thank is that if.

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