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What Message is Earnings Season Sending to Investors?

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    Delphi Management Chairman Scott Black reviews the earnings season and how it impacts investors’ portfolios and which stocks investors should consid...

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If you -- earlier -- 195 companies in the S&P 500 have reported earnings so far this quarter.

-- -- that only 64 point 6%.

Only a lot actually have beaten analysts' expectations.

That according to Reuters.

We're bringing -- Scott Black he says that shows corporate balance sheets are strong he's the chairman and president of Delphi management and a member.

Of the -- all star Barron's roundtable which we all know and love thanks so much for joining us -- good to happier to Fox Business exclusive.

Well thanks for inviting me -- what it tell you this opt out I mean year over year I believe that last year at this quarter.

71% had beaten estimates now it's two thirds a little bit less but you tell me how does this look to you -- what message does it said.

Two people who are saying should I buy stocks right now.

Well I think there's a lot of gaming the numbers we have the CF follows in the president's lower the expectations so they can beat them.

You know if you look at the beginning of the year.

SMP he's asked them it was about a 108 dollars a 109 dollars and earnings for the I was at one -- -- -- -- Barron's roundtable lancet today the S&P 500.

Estimate from McGraw hill's 1029.

He would feel like -- -- but not bad.

Right and if you look at the -- this year -- for this court they're only up about 2% in terms of the quarterly earnings.

Estimate for -- second quarter of twelve verses eleven so the expectations have gone down.

Operating margins for the S&P peak in the third quarter of the year -- -- And the other thing that concerns me -- when we listen to some of the industrial companies.

Did grow that growth rates are definitely slowing -- doing well in terms of managing the operating leverage in the margins but the top winds are getting hit because -- translation and also the slowing in Europe you see that across the board.

Following -- -- is an exception but Iraq companies like Illinois Tool Works and Johnson Controls.

And eaten and -- all lowered the guidance on the top line which tells you Indian industry is slowing world.

This is why we bring on Scott because he puts a number like -- two thirds of beaten into perspective -- the velocity of increase in sales as it has to slow down a little bit.

You just mentioned a couple of names Illinois Tool Works -- -- Boeing of course is a big industrial.

Is this a sector that you like is -- stay away sector.

Well we also manufacturing companies and we don't things like Illinois Tool Works and he and we think -- are good -- -- high returns on equity in the still low peace and we do want borrowing appalling it's really selling -- -- -- -- -- the market which -- thirteen times because of the huge backlog at they have for the 787.

And also for the new rollout of the 737.

So.

Borrowings a unique case.

I want to get before I get to a name that you really like I would like to get a name.

The Democrat like you you make investments that you hold them what's the best stock pick you -- made it in the past year -- Yes been Ross Stores but we've -- -- longer up.

Most people love them as stressful less they do not operate New York or Boston but they are about 12125.

Store was.

They've basically filled the some of -- the United States the biggest thing California it's up the system somebody darn well I mean looking at this one up 75% year over year.

It is show -- return on equities over 45%.

They have no debt they generate nothing but cash.

And they generate -- -- 40500.

Million a year in free care to try to hear about that all the no I wanna be upfront is selling at about eighteen times -- earnings if it back out the roughly the three and a half dollars a share in excess cash is still selling at -- and a half times next year's fiscal learned.

So for some there's a value player it's a little bit expense if we are two names that you like right now on a -- to one each as we finish up.

But I EMC a Hopkinton mass they've reported yesterday it's a legitimate double digit crawl out the stock is around 25 -- four dollars a share net cash and -- Close to two dollars next year to -- -- -- -- They dominate this space and enterprise storage and also one VMware and virtualization.

And for those people who need -- yelled I thought we give them bio medical realty GM -- Has about a four point 6% EL cells and only one point 14 times book.

And basically they build to suit the life sciences.

Keep -- square is huge and -- -- -- 34% of their footprint they have people like hot and medical school.

I thought Beth Israel deaconess medical vertex Fries are the -- so they've they've also in San Diego San Francisco all the major buyout -- areas.

The net operating income is not growing at double digit this year and it's a it's a well run company really should get paid -- away -- with -- -- and those big quality names you're looking at a company or companies that can actually pay the leases stock -- to seal up in Boston thanks so much.

Thanks for having me again -- what's up with the Red Sox well I think my Indians are doing better than they are in the standings.

The Red Sox a terrible lack of quality study pitching and restaurant back and have been very for this year the release there's a big good and they can't they hitting percent admittance out.

I hate to say it but there may be the Yankee you -- not the -- -- here but listen -- by years.

Can't believe a Bostonians that Scott good to see -- thank you.

Scott Black chairman and president of Delphi management who gives a sports --