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Is Iran’s Danger Underestimated?

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    Former covert operations officer Mike Baker on tensions in the Middle East.

  • Duration 2:52
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Called the US -- -- hand expiring on a vessel in the Persian gulf yesterday killing one.

While the vessel turned out to be -- fishing boat -- -- highlights the rising tensions in the region with.

Yes Iran joining me now is Mike Baker former CIA cover operations officer president of diligence.

A global intelligence and security firm.

Are we under estimating at this point the danger that is Iran the ambassador Bolton was on yesterday saying between.

Iran Syria and Egypt Iran clearly because of its nuclear capabilities as the greatest of those threats.

What's driving he's he's absolutely right in that in the long term for sure mean Syria is is very chaotic and has -- potential to.

Spin out of control and then you've got the Russian element there but video in terms of them the bigger picture Iran is is certainly at the top of the the food chain and in terms of problems.

But what we saw yesterday when it was indicative of a of a number of things it was indicative as you said.

Of -- -- rising tension the concerns but.

In reality you know we even without -- -- if one of our vessels.

It came under similar circumstances elsewhere around the world they would still do the same thing -- would still walk through those basic steps to warn off any approaching vessel -- small craft.

And then at a certain point.

There operating within very defined protocols of how they can then fire upon a small craft that is approaching and refusing to move off based on all the previous warnings.

But might look good chances -- say in the next six to eight months that you think Iran takes.

On some sort of action in the Strait of Hormuz because this is again.

One a -- power play is that it has.

In terms of controlling world oil supply because that's where 15 of it passes through the strait of form then what are the chances that Iran does do something as these.

These sanctions -- oil embargo is clearly hurting.

That clearly hurting -- talked with a people who have been just did recently.

There in Iran and they say they've never seen it quite this bad before in terms of the streets and and the weight of the sanctions are affecting people on the street.

And that then addresses that your question of this -- what is the what -- the authorities like the dilapidated -- and and the clerics more importantly.

Because -- they're going to do whatever they think they need to do to stay in power.

As a result of the rising displeasure of the population.

And as these sanctions continue to squeeze and have some of fact.

Then you know that the clerics are looking into -- cable we needed distraction I don't want -- oversimplify this but if they take action in the Strait of Hormuz it is.

Because they're concerned that internally things could spin out of control and they could lose their position.

My -- great to see thank you so much Mike Baker of diligence former CIA.

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