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Author Gordon Chang on the recent failed missile test by North Korea and China’s GDP figures.
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So let's talk about North -- -- capital and our professional daughter calls and -- cannot -- -- -- then they launch dismissal.
Now -- Since the first one that launched.
This is the fourth long range missile that they've launched 9820062009.
What happened -- cursory.
The 981 was a really good test it wasn't perfect but you know they scattered some debris -- a place called the Alaska.
-- 2006 and 2009 they didn't do very well.
This 2012 missile tests or something to smells wrong about it because you know.
I'm in a lot of other people thought it was gonna be really successful because they have learned a lot -- because of their failures in 2006 and 2009.
The -- lot of propaganda reasons to make this one work it doesn't.
You know.
But it could easily -- it could be incompetence but it also be sabotage you know there -- a lot of people right now who wanna get rid of little camp -- Or who don't like the guys who run the space agency's so.
Who knows what happened here and it's gonna take a long time for us to figure it out but that a lot here that doesn't.
Add up talking 'cause -- all the -- says you know.
-- around forty frontrunners are as far as Obama form don't want to work right so old all.
-- which along.
-- any -- about 78 years ago we had a string of three or four missile failures which are pretty embarrassing especially for an advanced military power.
We couldn't put anything up in space.
-- -- my question announced.
-- So much at stake.
Why you know why we're North Korea same thing not knowing for sure whether.
There are going to be -- -- -- -- -- -- They were really confident that they had it all figured out and -- market -- and they were wrong.
-- said you know either incompetence or someone.
Deliberately sabotage but.
Who knows.
We're gonna find out.
Formal or.
Toward summertime.
Well you know there's a lot of jockeying right now is it's a one -- regime in North Korea but there are three very important factions in addition to the -- friendly there's the military security services and the party and these three factions are really jockeying for power right now.
And it's it's intense so you know they kill each other off sometimes so it wouldn't be a stretch to think that they might sabotage one of their own missiles all -- -- -- -- -- -- to all right it's a completely whacked out.
While Oracle lower chemical problem -- -- -- EO this still is that he wasn't really ready for power.
-- it Walters on high scroll.
-- -- -- -- -- -- Busy -- out that the thing about the little guy is that he only had two years grooming to take over.
His father Kim Jong -- -- had more than two decades of grooming and so.
This is a difficult job running North Korea because of all of the infighting it's a snake pit and and Kim -- on the current leader he's a real hamster at this point.
-- because he he he doesn't really have the means to sort of survive in in the very difficult environment of one -- really in charge.
Well -- nobody's really in charge this got -- in which Jones on -- who is Kim Jong Il's brother in law front is supposed to be the region.
His wife is Kim -- he.
She is very powerful so it's electric power couple but also you've got some general like -- -- -- Song.
Sort of same thing.
But -- regarding China and congressman part of which until now want to alarm.
Russian.
-- -- -- -- -- Well right now prudent is much more concerned about other things he's concerned about to -- what they call the near abroad in other words Europe so.
They've sort of left the Far East to you know to sort of go on its own and so at this point.
You know he doesn't pay that much attention to North Korea they'll say the right things but they're not doing anything to change North Korea's behavior -- -- China's relationship.
But for a while China supplies 90% of the oil 80% of the consumer goods 45% of the food in North Korea much of it on concessionary terms.
Basically North Korea couldn't survive without Beijing and it's a tense relationship because the north Koreans don't like the Chinese they have -- for like 600 years.
But nonetheless Beijing news finds it very useful for Kim Jong -- and now can -- -- To create all of these provocations because every time it happens we run to Beijing and say please please please you know -- in your North Korean allies -- and the Chinese extract concessions from us for doing that and we really need to stop this dynamic -- stroll on China.
Really -- there's intense infighting at the top of the Communist Party aren't we had bush -- who is the party secretary the boss of one province invade another problem at all hundreds of armed security troops in February because one of his more lieutenants was trying to defect to the US.
We've had one death of this British businessman in -- It's a murder mystery now bushy line has been stripped of his post.
Is it's in the millet and I Gordon get a book out of -- better come on.
A hot it's it's happening much to -- write a book -- says you know the real problem right now in China is that the military is breaking free of civilian control.
And that means to generals and admirals are sort of creating their own policies which is a reason why we have this really tense standoff with the Philippines at this moment in the South China -- Because the admirals are saying you know we're gonna just create some problems and then -- this is of real issue for us com.
I'm not tomorrow suspects committed person.
On the planet when it comes to our foreign policy and should be conducted.
A -- -- like a lot.
He's Donald Trump on my -- him for a variety of reasons.
And don't -- pesos.
London's conduction.
Or relations with China -- -- -- -- and wise up to knock it off or gonna what are what are what why can't -- deal.
All of them in terms of trade and -- -- -- -- -- little -- -- China.
But what does China do -- that we don't have Donald Trump says senate commerce secretary is president and we probably should because he has a much better policy in China.
You know last year a hundred and -- the most notable.
Trump does not -- it our current you know last year a 109 -- point 5% of China's overall trade surplus related to sales to the US that gives.
Us enormous advantage in dealing with the Chinese we don't use that leverage China's becoming more dependent on the US rather than less.
We hold -- high cards trump understands that the guy who's running the White House right now.
Doesn't.
You know all.
Got to try to be salacious hung up.
-- -- like to try to provide.
-- -- -- For people to implement programs -- respect.
But since I've I heard freaky stuff about.
The Kim family about it -- of a kid was when the kids kid blow to as high schooler -- their -- Ballot I didn't hear a bit you know art another -- one -- can't -- -- and student and I wouldn't be surprise.
Sell them and spoke to Antonio was just weird.
Mean the guy who just died in December.
And that whole family has really been very strange because you know they grew up both Kim Jong-Il and Kim -- on the current leader.
Grew up thinking that they were like gods and so they can do what they want so you know if you look as high school I just wouldn't be surprised because they've done really Kraft marking things -- -- almost won elections.
-- -- -- -- -- -- Soul and an economy is slowing in China and it is they said eight point 1% growth for the first quarter is probably more like five or six.
They had a very bad January and February.
March didn't look terribly goods so I don't know how they get to eight point one they just made that number up from you know thin air finally got a -- thirty seconds.
-- North Korea long term -- clear throughout.
Yeah I mean they've got all around.
You know of the real threat is that -- pre positioned it in a city like New York in there in the you know Kim Jong -- calls up the White House and says.
I've got a bomb in the US city you know I'd like to talk to the president now.
And and that's what our security -- really worry about from them doing you don't need a long range missiles to blow up an American -- Spike here for provided notional.
This is -- certain.
