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Former Senior U.S. Diplomat Amb. Thomas Graham on the impact of a potential Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear program on the Middle East and gas pric...
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Album book if you are great at it I know everyone thinks a ring and it's crazy -- -- -- it's crazy and it certainly did they act that way.
But it is a method -- quite literally -- madness that the more bellicose face.
The more extensive.
There are number one commodity gets spoiled.
The Richards yes that's an and so it's in their interests.
Attempt state but not crossed very what do you think.
Well I think -- based on my experience that Iranians are.
There are rational actors that's not to say they don't have some rational people.
Many countries do.
But they seem to have a disproportionate number well or maybe in the wrong places around.
-- it.
It don't know about Ahmadinejad he does seem -- -- -- irrational side on the other things so the other hand some of the things he says seems seem while.
Seemingly crazy.
Maybe to his interest politically.
It's not in his interest -- this country potentially -- I don't know that it's not in his interest to I know it could galvanize support.
For him and his party it's it's it looks like Israel.
Is is the big meaning here that I understand investment.
But it.
I -- state did even the craziest people look at the value of either their lights -- surviving.
You know in the end did today -- at a loss.
-- comes to mind so is there a little bit of that in on the did its job and that that might provide hope that he's crazy but he's not not.
Well I I think we can negotiate with Ahmadinejad above what we negotiate well.
I should maybe rephrase that I think he is someone that if we had something to negotiate about that we could negotiate.
It's difficult to see what exactly we have Fluor sanctioning and they ran -- the end Yang and that's doing and and -- that's another thing the sanctions are are really really damaging their economy and and may have now agreed to talk again.
So that suggests that perhaps from this maybe is -- -- we should stay on for a while for a but the sanctions.
Longer they go on and the more the Israelis get annoyed that they've not yielded any concessions at a different so the Israelis and get impatient right.
The Israelis get impatience I guess especially this year so it's Israel worded attack on its own ambassador you're saying.
From.
That is what likely.
Well it says that just from what I'm hearing.
Didn't -- what would happen if they did.
What if what it would happen if they did that they would I think probably.
-- -- they do.
Some damage to the they would wind down it would however that oil prices would zoom in oil prices would they -- -- 300 dollars a barrel -- -- Barack Obama staying -- -- -- the end result would -- they don't take it out.
Oil prices already rocketing would rock and a lot more.
He's finished well thinking the way I mean in terms of oil prices if we do it.
They do it -- voted going up a lot prices are so this is it in question a five dollar gets you.
You know its way I think it'd be way about it that way men I don't know how high but I think -- be very high.
And I mean they would -- if that happened they probably would close look at straits of Hormuz you know that's against their interest because they're under attack.
-- one thing Iran has done in the past.
Is to do things and and not just this administration and all the way back to the fifties.
-- they've done things that.
It seemed to be against their interest but they do it out of pride -- Stubborn -- -- -- yeah by -- they -- not gonna give them do you guys -- and so I could see them under those circumstances close enough Strait of Hormuz and you know sinking a lot of ships and in or something and and that could be the economic.
Economically really bad.
You know Morrison tightest in people are open to you came along and on the show -- -- a pretty good movement.
At that and the well and -- -- yeah I think you know seriously and that's a very good points to consider and and just iron out here is this.
Locomotives use keeps going in this direction clearly we guest it needs to be stopped and will watch closely -- thank observer might.
