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Luntz: Romney Will Be Nominee
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Pollster Frank Luntz on the Super Tuesday battle and why he believes the continued search for a candidate will hurt the GOP.
- Duration 6:02
- Date Mar 7, 2012
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Pollster Frank Luntz on the Super Tuesday battle and why he believes the continued search for a candidate will hurt the GOP.
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So what does that channel -- as a detective Specter indeed but it knowing about the intricacies of why people vote as they vote.
And what's going on here but Frank -- the pollster extraordinary.
Sort.
-- -- -- -- -- -- Mitt Romney looks great on Paper the great -- put his company nearly business I didn't -- he has all the assets but he does have -- here.
That's right he hasn't here he has -- in this part but that this community communicate it that way that Romney is a brilliant numbers guy.
He looks at the evidence and he knows how to make the right conclusions in some ways he's the most qualified candidate of the entire field running.
Because he understands exactly what Americans and -- -- -- -- -- because being a good president is not necessarily the same as being a good candidate.
We are now emotionally driven were afraid of the future were anxious were angry in some cases and Romney is much more clear headed.
He makes rational decisions you don't see the emotion you don't see the passion -- him because he's clinical.
And that critical approach does not necessarily lend itself to being a great candidate and Republican primary what they want to do is just bash bash bash.
All right we have -- running him a little bit more than it was before I don't wanna struggle it's a much of this is you know discipline and -- do it goes back and forth it's like crazy.
But we did -- from -- Ohio -- -- that it would be an automatic recount is it certain around one quarter to one half of 1%.
So we're -- -- of these guys wanted to or not it's gonna happen.
Except based on what I see that's out there you don't think that's gonna happen I think Romney will win by enough in Ohio to get beyond.
Although I'll tell you some good but can you resolute let's say it it that does happen.
Would Rick Santorum predicates are I protests this he can so protests at the issue actually is not who wins and loses these states it's who wins the delegates.
And you take a look and -- can't win or lose and it Romney's in better shape -- much better shape and when you add what he's won tonight vs what he is one up to this point.
You cannot make the case of Mitt Romney gets the nomination sewed up in the next few days or even a few weeks what about going to the convention and on having on the note the delegates -- -- but who else could.
You reach a point never put someone pat -- but you look at the numbers and you have to.
Be able to all three candidates Ron Paul Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich have to more delegates in total -- the way you sets falling apart here just tell -- around pointed out to -- I -- -- -- they don't we're not going there they do not have the capability of getting enough delegates that's a story of tonight.
Given I mean I understand that I understand they might not but Romney might not a question I -- woods with -- -- talent.
Is then do they call announce that it could -- -- -- Chris Christie or someone.
To pick up of the time I wanna raise a and that Ronnie said.
In and around -- insane because mormons of some of that but it no way because we woven work and Arctic seas is often don't.
When and and you look at the numbers -- that while that makes a great press story and while that'll be good for every cable news channel it's just not likely to happen.
One question and I'm looking -- I -- a numbers -- because I look at these numbers and if you don't know these numbers like I do and and you actually -- -- good -- and you look at the numbers and Romney's getting 55 or 60% of the delegates.
Even if he's only getting 40% of the votes and that's what matters more is those -- why does that happen by -- congressional districts anyway and then you.
That's what happens look at Virginia there's only two candidates on the ballot and so Mitt Romney just takes takes virtually everything if not everything.
I still like Ohio -- Romney may win by one.
At most 2% because it's -- by congressional district which -- -- even field a full slate of candidates.
-- so let's say that happens it's almost split frank.
On.
Than the 66 delegates would apportion -- They get apportioned by congressional district and what happens in Ohio is if you win by just 1% that's a much bigger margin.
In terms of how many delegates -- women just.
Cutting -- statewide and that's what Romney has done in virtually every state.
With a delegates matter he's been in there when it's been a beauty contest such as what we had about three weeks ago that's receptor and as well.
-- they're ten conscious and I was looking at this Romney wins for so -- Santorum 30 barrel still up for grabs.
What's gonna -- -- headline tomorrow.
The headline is that Romney takes another small step towards the nomination.
-- you have to ask the question is there any when -- who has the ability to deny him that nomination and that's what I don't see right now.
-- Romney have a wrapped up.
You don't see a brokered convention criticism -- you guys can't settle it could you might -- I think the longer these guys.
Fight this out the more they hate each other and -- no less inclined one -- -- help the other.
Absolutely -- -- and I know this from a personal perspective knowing these four candidates you are correct.
But it's also what to the voters think and I think the -- story from tonight is that who is the increase in.
Negative ratings for Mitt Romney among independent voters because this Republican contest goes I would.
What about what happened in America as we have not -- and -- When Hillary and and and a bomb were going about it but -- people like both of them they did that wiped -- analogy because in the magnitude of the Bill Clinton -- were much more careful the bill because Bill Clinton put it away so quickly.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 'cause he had scandals about him which Mitt Romney doesn't -- I think the 2008 comparison is the best.
But both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama while they challenge each other we're not nearly as negative.
The ads were not as negative.
The debates were not as negative and you had people who like to both candidates the just like one candidate so your contradiction and -- I -- predictions that Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee.
And that and that this is where -- go against my focus groups.
I think that it is destructive to the Republican Party.
If this race continues the focus groups have done for Fox News has shown exactly the opposite they wanted to continue.
Their interest as you always on and thank you frank --