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FNC National security analyst K.T. McFarland and FNC terrorism analyst Walid Phares question the effectiveness of sanctions against Iran and how the P...
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Few weeks that we've -- US relations with Iran deteriorate rapidly.
Last week -- -- said it's prepared to hit multiple US targets.
If they are attacked over their development of nuclear weapons joining me now Fox News national security analyst KT McFarland.
And -- Middle East and terrorism analyst Wally Ferris and just.
You know last month.
But we were -- month and a half ago we were doing our predictions on the New Year's Day program and I asked both of you for your predictions for 2012.
Here's what you said.
2012 would look at the very different -- regime that looks like more and little Soviet Union in the making.
We have always -- we've known for a decade whether the Bush Administration worry about administration we would ultimately be down to two choices -- moron.
Let Iran get the bomb we have failed to develop a third stories and so at some point in 2000 robbery -- early 2013.
We're gonna have actually.
Let's rate let's speed up the calendar have a sell -- wow you guys were good.
Proved right on but the only thing is you -- were implying later in the year what do you make of the fact that this is going downhill so rapidly.
I think a couple of things are happening one Israelis -- -- -- about what you clocks and that -- where there's a desk with several -- senate.
One clock is the Israeli clock.
And they're saying how much time do we have before Iran puts its nuclear facilities deep underground and impervious to attack -- -- is saying.
There are sanctions that -- United States in the world is putting us.
How much time do we have before those sanctions really starts squeezing -- and then there's another -- that says how long until we get nuclear weapons.
And while lead this squeeze it's going on in Iran how long before.
Or will there is there an opportunity for the people of Iran to have an an Arab Spring and -- Arab opera lavandera for -- but an uprising in Iran against the leadership.
That's what I call the -- and middle earth to borrow from the over the king of the rings.
The Iranian regime knows that those sanctions are gonna -- -- -- knows that the economic squeeze is going forward.
But -- -- the same time in their own analysis that the administration is not gonna strike at least not before the actions and their own calculation so what they're trying to do meanwhile.
As we are escalating with the sanctions.
Is to basically put pressure on the international community multinational corporations and other countries neutral countries in this trade -- crisis.
On the other hand in real ground -- -- -- -- are penetrating Iraq.
Soon to -- -- the oil fields of Iraq and from there.
They have connected already as we've predicted a projected last year.
That would be -- regime now -- -- on Iraq intervals to guards are in Syria and from Syria that connecting with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
They're putting tremendous pressure on east and Arabia Saudi Arabia where -- -- As Shia community is also on -- -- northern Yemen.
And and the -- so the Iranians are moving forward what we are applying those sanctions it's a race between one and the other.
Now if we stand with the demonstrators.
The next round of demonstrations.
Then again surprised Iranian regime I have not seen indications from -- -- -- at least that we would stand with the Iranians -- if that would happen.
For the of these sanctions were mean sanctions and -- -- -- -- sanctions are there but this one seems to have some effect.
The -- just talked about there also on the move very quickly.
Yeah any sections are biting but they're not crippling.
I think that it took -- we've got to understand the fact that this Iranian regime is not gonna give up its nuclear weapons so any attempt.
To have sanctions get them into the negotiating table and good faith.
They're going to negotiate away their nukes they're not going to do it and the closer they get to having the -- fell less likely there are so I think you gotta look at regime change.
But Reagan style regime change not regime change where we send in the Marines.
And topple a government or not even Obama's style regime change where he gets a coalition.
And then hopefully over time they cut their leadership has toppled this seems to be regime change whereas while -- was saying.
There is it -- people.
Rise up because things are so difficult economically that they overthrow their regime and I do think it's possible but only if this administration Obama.
Will in -- -- sanctions ruthlessly and rapidly.
Because 80% of their GNP comes from oil sales if that gets cut off that's an Iranian regime which doesn't have money.
For Hezbollah or Hamas or Syria or -- nuclear weapons program and certainly not money.
To give as subsidies to its own people -- so worried backing their own heads that they want to have -- it.
You expect -- -- we get it you know this election year so what are we gonna do is is going to.
This isn't going to be a wagged the dog this is this is this is going -- its own calendar path.
Is this going to explode somehow prior to.
People making up their mind about who they -- A vote for for president.
That's the one billion and trillion dollars since gotten out and those numbers.
It's not what the dog because that's not an island -- cannot do you can you cannot pull a campaign on -- -- and finish that off that campaign and -- just one month this is going to be a much bigger issue.
He's going to be a decision the contrition would have to do independently from its politics on the inside.
There must be in national unity in the United States in an election year which is very difficult.
He's got to have the congress to support the campaigns of support.
The White House decided to partner -- -- one in -- opposition all of that is now very difficult to achieve because we should have started.
Two years ago when the Iranians were on the streets of Tehran and June of 20091 point five.
Million people what we can do right now basically is just signal very strongly.
-- with the Iranian leadership that that is that we are going to take action and Begin showing that that this holding about the politics can be.
Here's a politics and and the politics political calculations Israel.
It's not even the United States Israel's got a look at Iran and look at the United States leadership and say the last thing they want is a second term Obama who they are convinced we'll sell them down the river and not.
And nonstop around.
We don't treat change leaders and our country in the middle of a war.
If we're if were in some sort of the -- conflict with them that that supports president.
Bombed out but what they're thinking is that they don't want to deal with -- reelected Obama because he may not support.
Israel and may not support getting rid of Iran's nukes so what will Israel calculate I think by the summer late summer early fall.
-- gonna come to the conclusion of see if they taken preemptive military action against Iran which they can probably start that they probably can't finish.
President Obama and campaign election -- is unlikely to abandon Israel.
Right before presidential election and risk losing in states like Florida because of the -- from.
Wally you're your take on the politics.
I think that the Iranian regime knows there are -- politics -- happening front burner back burner and -- also.
Do not want to see it regime after or -- government after.
Next November that would go after them so they are now playing to weaken both camps and America and make sure that both won't make a decision to go after Iraq at these before November.
All right Wally -- didn't even Farmington great information thank you both.
