Iran's unwavering nuclear ambitions
Security analysts weigh in
- Duration 7:07
- Date Feb 12, 2012
Security analysts weigh in
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-- the past few weeks that we've -- US relations with Iran deteriorate rapidly.
Last week Iran said it's prepared to hit multiple US targets.
If they are attacked over their development of nuclear weapons joining me now Fox News national security analyst KT McFarland.
And -- Middle East and terrorism analyst while -- -- and just.
You know last month.
That we were -- month and a half ago we were doing our predictions on the New Year's Day program and I asked both of you for your predictions for 2012.
Here's what you said.
2012 will look at -- very different airline regime that looks like more and little Soviet Union in the making.
We have always now we've known for a decade whether the Bush Administration worry about administration we would ultimately be -- to two choices bomb Iran.
Let Iran get the bomb we have failed to develop a third stories and so at some point in 2000 robbery and early 2013.
We're gonna have a.
Let's rate let's speed up the calendar have a sell well wow you guys were good proved right on but the only thing is you -- -- implying later in the year.
What do you make of the fact that this is going -- so rampant.
I think a couple of things are happening one Israelis -- -- about -- -- clocks and administrators -- desk with several -- -- -- One -- is the Israeli clock.
And they're saying how much time do we have before Iran puts its nuclear facilities deep underground and impervious to attack -- -- is saying.
There -- sanctions that -- United States in the world is putting us.
How much time do we have before those sanctions really start squeezing -- and then there's another -- that says how long until we get nuclear weapons.
And -- -- this squeeze it's going on in Iran how long before.
Or will there is there an opportunity for the people of Iran to have an an Arab Spring and -- Arab opera lavandera for -- but an uprising in Iran against the leadership.
That's what I call the -- and middle earth to borrow from -- over the king of the rings.
The Iranian regime knows that -- sanctions are gonna escalate knows that the economic squeeze is going forward.
But note -- the same time in their own analysis that the administration is not gonna strike at least not before the elections.
And their own calculation so what they're trying to do meanwhile as we are escalating with the sanctions.
Is to basically put pressure on the international community multinational corporations and other countries neutral countries in this -- apartments.
Crisis on the other hand in real ground politics are penetrating Iraq.
Soon to -- sorting.
The oil fields of the Iraq and from there.
They have connected already as we've predicted a projected last year.
That would be Assad's regime now -- is that on Iraq -- over who should guards are -- -- And from Syria that connecting with Hezbollah in Lebanon that putting tremendous pressure on east -- Arabia Saudi Arabia -- their lives.
As Shia communities also on -- -- northern Yemen.
And and the French so the Iranians are moving forward what we are applying those sanctions -- that race between one and the other.
Now if we stand with the demonstrators.
The next round of demonstrations.
Then we -- surprised Iranian regime I have not seen indications from the administration at least that we would stand with the Iranians think if that would happen.
Are the of these sanctions were mean sanctions on -- -- sanctions are there but this one seems to have some effect.
The -- just talked about there also on the move very quickly.
Yeah any sections are biting but they're not crippling.
I think that -- -- to.
We've -- understand the fact that this Iranian regime is not gonna give up its nuclear weapons so any attempt to have sanctions get them into the negotiating table and good faith.
They're going to negotiate away their nukes they're not going to do it and the closer they get to having the -- fell less likely there are so I think you gotta look at regime change.
But Reagan style regime change not regime change -- we send in the Marines.
And topple a government or not even Obama's -- regime change where he gets a coalition.
And then hopefully overtime the -- -- -- leadership -- -- this seems to be regime change whereas while -- was saying.
There Iranian people rise up because things are so difficult economically that they overthrow their regime and I do think it's possible but only if this administration Obama.
Will in -- -- sanctions ruthlessly and rapidly.
Because 80% of their GNP comes from oil sales if that gets cut off that's an Iranian regime which doesn't have money.
For Hezbollah or Hamas or Syria or its own nuclear weapons program and certainly not money.
To get as subsidies to its own people every so worried -- their own heads that they won't have time to.
You expect what's -- we get it you know this election year so what are we gonna do is is going to.
This isn't going to be a wagged the dog this is this is this is going down its own calendar path.
Is this going to explode somehow prior to.
People making up their mind about who they -- Vote for for president.
That's the 1000000008 trillion dollars since gotten out and those numbers.
It's not what the dog because that's not an island B cannot do you can you cannot pull a campaign on you -- and finish that off that campaign and in just one month this is going to be a much bigger issue.
It's going to be a decision that the administration would have to do independently from its politics on the -- -- There must be in national unity in the United States in an election year which is very difficult it's got to have the congress to support the campaigns in support.
The White House decided to partner with the Iran in up opposition.
All of -- is now very difficult to achieve because we should have started two years ago when the Iranians were on the streets of Tehran in June of 20091 point five.
Million people what we can do right now basically is just signal very strongly.
To the Iranian leadership that that it that we are going to take action and Begin showing that there's this whole thing about the politics can.
Here's a politics and and the politics political calculations Israel.
-- -- -- the United States Israel's got a look at Iran and look at the United States leadership and -- the last thing they want is a second term Obama who they're convinced we'll sell them down the river and not.
And that's -- around.
We don't treat change leaders and our country in the middle of a war if we're if we're in some sort of the -- conflict with them.
That that supports president.
The -- out but what they're thinking is that they don't want to deal with her reelected Obama because he may not support.
Israel and may not support getting rid of Iran's -- so what will Israel calculate I think by the summer late summer early fall Israel's gonna come to the conclusion of see if they taken preemptive military action against Iran which they can probably start that they probably can't finish.
President Obama and campaign election mode is unlikely to abandon Israel.
Right before presidential election and risk losing in states like Florida because of the -- -- Wally you're your take on the politics.
I think that the Iranian regime knows there are -- politics as happening front burner back burner and say also.
Do not want to see it regime after or -- government after.
Next November that would go after them so they are now playing to weaken both camps in America and make sure that both won't make a decision to go after Iraq at these before November.
All right Wally -- KT McFarland -- great information thank you both very very much.