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National security expert KT McFarland discusses global threats that could impact the U.S. in the near future.
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-- aren't part of terrific.
-- often as -- and back on its out every Wednesday from two to three that they and you can go online and watch it anytime or turn around those awarded talking resolve what national security got an answer Greg and you because it is for people who wanna dig deeper into the national security issues -- have a two minute interview we get.
Former officials current officials military types experts and it's -- for five or ten minutes.
They really find out what's going on for example in Iran and or what a war with Iran would look like.
And number there -- start to nortel's Cameron.
And to actually.
Unlike the situation -- are there are so we'll just let it fly you laws so what's on your red -- morning.
Well more so I just in addition asking me about a couple of things one is Iran and are we headed -- -- crisis with Iran all right -- we are headed to a crisis with Iran and it'll happen within the next couple of weeks we have started.
Putting the equivalent of a blockade around Iranian -- announced that can't get to market and that's 80% of their GNP so they're gonna get angry and they are gonna provoke something.
But that's the only way I think to go after Iran is economically instead of looking at the -- eruptions which we've always -- bomb Iran.
And have a regional war or let Iran get the bomb and then everybody in the region -- -- to use our Republican a crisis to crisis will be one.
The Iranians could do a number of things what they could do is is start mining the Strait of Hormuz or harassing ships going through the straits of Hormuz.
They've threatened to close the strait of -- -- -- -- them I'll watch us.
Speedboats are very tiny little swarming speedboats that come up and as my daughter who's a naval officers explainer what they do is they come up to a certain.
Point and then we would notify them is that you come any closer Aussie out of the water and then they come closer and that we say if you come within the next.
He says you know if you -- a little bit closer -- -- about the water minister Brent should amount of water now we haven't gotten to that point but they always go right up to the edge of the envelope.
-- it's not like -- on short with the bullhorn.
All the mentioned something that is more provocative and now it's much more provocative -- that and I think this year in the Strait of Hormuz is have very narrow waterway.
Most of the majority of the world's expert -- oil goes through there are so it's not just a -- and -- Saudi oil.
It's Kuwaiti oil some 40% of the world's exported oil goes through there and it's a narrow passage you easily see one of those little speed boats.
Coming up against an American ship for a tanker and then all of a sudden you got a war that nobody really wants but it happens.
-- -- and and so if you're still want to set of marvel capital would you be recommending it to him.
I would tell the president this is a year of reckoning and this is Iran is gonna somehow might actually your dragon Chinese or not traveled to China known after China although the Chinese are in this because -- by Iranian -- But I would tell the president used that economic weapon dude if the Iranians -- Reagan did.
To the Soviet Union which brought the Soviet Union to its knees so in effect I do think the Iranians -- respond.
You said earlier our conversation regional manager on.
We're apply this economic pressure on the maneuvering for public things I think that they could provoke a crisis.
On the other hand 80% of their revenues come from oil and if -- world -- to get to market.
There's so squeezed so quickly that they've they've got a hard time.
Paying for all the subsidies they give their own people.
They have a hard time paying for nukes they have a hard time giving money to Hamas and Hezbollah hard time keeping their heads so at that point do you have a regime change.
In the Iranian government not brought about by it's not brought about by our allies that are -- about an Iranian people -- But pretty much were just just in Moscow -- on.
-- but we also know that what if we don't do anything what happens well Iran happens over don't know secretary of defense -- I was on sixty minutes and Iran have nuclear weapons within a year.
Now what does that mean -- -- donors but none Donna good job is seeing a pretty good job you can I mean Bob gates who is one of my former colleagues.
In previous administrations I think you did a terrific job -- the again.
But does not -- I think that is doing a very good job but I think he's carrying out the policies that separate yeah extremely put in place.
I didn't arrive on our I don't know -- us -- Boston actually -- -- -- And I switched over to six -- -- for whatever reason.
Now another woman -- -- -- like current insurers that are -- in his -- And Texas are raises exotic animals he's.
And I didn't -- balanced for a fascinating just -- -- not NC sixty minutes of -- -- you know orders so our.
And I are about this secretary of defense out these -- also designed.
Well the thing you said with the -- about Pakistan and did he think that the Pakistani government knew were around some of enlightened ones.
And embedded he said yeah or done.
We'll subtle body.
It's just a lot of noise -- -- -- you -- our common sense to me was a no brainer Pakistan.
But then that finding bin Laden discounts so guess what if they found him they -- out of business.
And we've given twenty billion dollars to find.
In -- so what they did -- you know they found them laden they were out of business if we found among.
They -- out of business if and -- -- died they are out of business so what did they do they kept them on the live in a safe house of.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Looking -- -- even as they have this compound Berenbaum.
About a band now.
All we're please 184 highs.
-- walls.
And neighborhood but nothing like it -- -- by Bryant similar buildings.
And then razor wire I mean.
Didn't anybody gets suspicious white to widen to take our intelligence community that Lana for girls -- well I think it's a very -- -- -- to -- MB always off the grid generating yourself -- didn't use the Internet.
Always his hero and -- -- directed didn't -- -- down so to find him as hard once they found him they -- somebody important is in that compound but the question is who.
And do you -- -- -- -- somebody and find out that it's just some Saudi grants or some -- -- or was that the big.
A bill odd place for a Saudi prince the loans.
Not to let.
Didn't somebody could and a lot of other people who would have been important I think at social one Pakistani journalists who would be under about -- -- -- said the directly across the street from the bin Laden compound.
There's an army major who wore army uniform.
And here with tech kidney specialists and he would go to the bin Laden compound once a week while in Latin had kidney problems.
Is not a dollar was trying to get DNA evidence from the travelers on a different and it's a different market and I -- -- -- serial Tillman when he.
All the that the seals themselves.
Present they -- resents the fact that the administration.
All the present or anyone else's reveal in -- months information.
Or any information at all about our operational milestone -- -- doesn't help them in and it puts say on them and their families and certain amount of jeopardy themselves and -- also compromises their ability to do rather.
You know take -- I think we're gonna see an awful lot more of seals they have get kidnappings.
Of American citizens letters and Afghanistan or Iraq or even Egypt and I think -- -- Salem or mountain rescue missions.
Boss soccer was under a drummer generalize to have known -- there -- some leaders -- Actually I think last time I was talking to tell -- thought I was crazy.
This president well -- -- -- presidents currently.
I -- is not a great American and who's got begins a tourist army said it -- for example groups and just as a and of course from a conversation.
He just said.
I tell you said that we have won the war in Iraq which items on an argument with -- bottom because I was non -- courtroom -- election.
But the army in the -- respectively when -- war in Iraq I mean already Cendant.
You know as a difficult point when there's been a military operation it's been less unsuccessful I don't -- -- Vietnam Afghanistan Iraq.
What do you say to the families who've who've lost people or who sacrifice or what do you say to a nation who went into that war.
With the very best of intentions about alternative not a doctor well again I think that the Iraq story is an unwritten chapter we don't know -- we're out of there and we'll see what happens I think that Iraq.
Well descend into a lot of -- of ethnic and tribal violence that'll turn -- Nora problem.
No not necessarily -- -- what I worry about trade Iran is Egypt.
Because Egypt it is in our house what amass and you know -- adds -- -- for the last year that by pulling the rug out from under Mubarak.
And -- our country which for 5000 years -- had only dictators and pharaohs and generals running and it's not about to be a democratic secular society and I think that's -- we're seeing I think they what's happened in the last two days.
Is the American NGOs to people who are not working for the government -- her gun during good deeds in Egypt.
A lot of them have gone into the American Embassy in each in -- because they're afraid of what might happen to him.
Don't -- yeah president of granted as a form balls.
In some ways I think he's been very good in the sense that he's he's let the secret missions you know -- special forces and and that's the right thing to do I think he was wrong to cut defense of these -- -- really wrong to -- -- In the next round which will come this year.
And I think that at the end of the -- the leading from behind thing is a mistake now getting out of Afghanistan.
And Iraq you know the American people are tired of war now the key is I think the cars and judging the parent -- for policies he's campaigning.
Already on the fact that he's been successful foreign policy president there aren't up in laden mica now -- But I think he's gonna have and probably -- -- late summer -- have a series of crisis which will test that leadership ability to be Iran.
And it'll be Afghanistan getting out of Afghanistan and I think also -- all -- -- air.
