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And fox whose Middle East expert Wally Ferris to take T what do you what do we start double start with -- 12012.
What the world look like.
It's -- single -- important issue at the end of the Obama administration and the next administration is gonna be Iran what do you do about around.
We're coming up to a decision point and we have always now we've known for a decade.
Whether the Bush Administration the Obama administration we would ultimately be down to two choices -- -- -- Let Iran get the bomb we have failed to develop a third stories and so at some point in 2000 robbery and early 2013.
We're gonna have -- charts.
-- -- what does that do that will be unleashes a run that probably -- results in a regional war in the Middle East maybe even a war that carries over to the United States.
Or on the other hand Iran gets nuclear weapons around gets the every other country in the Persian gulf is -- want to -- -- The saudis have said that one at the -- -- -- at the egyptians the amorous they'll all -- up.
And what does that mean and next war in the Middle East and there -- always another -- in the Middle East as a danger going to.
Go one more step though -- -- -- that Iran or they get the bomb right they get the bomb.
What do they do with the bomb any well.
First of all the region becomes nuclear and more highly charged a -- is a very aggressive expansionist country right now we've seen.
At the end of last year.
We've seen that they talked about things like closing the Strait of Hormuz right what would imagine a world or else -- look here feel like for an hour down I can't she just wait yeah so I would make them an even more involved and country now in the middle of all -- in 2012.
I think Israelis are gonna have to make a decision.
Do they go it alone -- they try to stop Iranian nuclear program if so how and when -- EU assistance.
What lead what are you let's get you -- on this do you.
Think Iran is the big item for 2012.
And what are your comments about -- these observations.
It's absolutely Iran is going to be the most the single most strategic threat to the United States but -- local countries including Israel on the one hand.
Arabs on the other hand European democracies.
Iran in 2011.
-- add island because of our policies to expand its not just to build tried to build the nuclear bomb.
But they've built a huge network of delivery system the missiles then -- -- exercising almost every two months.
In addition to that as we know now that's penetrated the rock.
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- As you -- mention.
They have now been penetrating east and Arabia.
Dvds in -- rain.
And the the Red Sea they have activities within northern rebellion of the policies they have been -- he's on the coast.
-- -- out and now we have information that the -- unions have penetration inside the West Africa let alone.
The alliance that they have established with the -- -- so.
2012 -- looking at -- very different -- regime that looks like more a little Soviet Union in the making.
This is not good -- I'm not liking this conversely how bad guys I've tried love you guys I have but I'm going -- zero dollar happy new year and welcome to war in 2012.
Well there are a lot of unknowns -- how does the United States respond -- -- -- -- -- out of the saudis respond the saudis have an awful lot to lose from an expansionist.
I think that what we should be doing we the United States we the west is lick -- Dramatic stuff hasn't worked -- I could have told Java -- and I know nothing about diplomacy but I knew they weren't gonna stop lot of guys kissing our president -- thought it was gonna work and -- didn't know it did not -- didn't work sanctions haven't work so what's next.
I think the only option is to try to due to -- -- what Reagan did to the Soviet Union.
Find a way to drive the price of -- down because the Iranians need a high present borrow to pay for their weapons systems to pay for all of the social programs.
If they don't have that money they don't have that extra money they're gonna have a very unhappy in restive population.
Which is what how.
Reagan brought down the Soviet Union the president well I'm from forty to eighteen dollars a barrel in a matter of months in the -- union is -- Soviet Union had -- dilapidated oil system to -- while lead.
The is the economic way to win this one like Reagan did.
Well we could've.
And ten and -- eleven but look what's happening now in twelve.
We have Iran controlling its own oil of course and now having controlled or a say over Iraqi oil because they have -- say inside Iraq.
They've linked up with Syria and therefore they can pressure further because of that presence across from the bond.
Keep in mind that on the western front let's call North Africa the western -- Libya -- going increasingly Islamist.
So yes we can pressure the Iranians what would be you know the money that could come from -- -- of oil.
But that what's happening in Libya out what's happening in Algeria.
Probably -- to be -- few month and other.
Pressure by the Islamic so the problem is that the administration the Obama administration has thought of because of its -- actions or actions given half of the Middle East and Iran.
The other half of the most about.
So -- we look what how we gonna solve this economic please what is your.
Jerry and I have to think how America has and how would you do -- I think you would hope that and try to convince the saudis to pump more oil.
-- the other thing I would do is go to the domestic US domestic energy.
Companies whether it's with oil natural gas or oral and give those permits out hoping.
That may be the United States in the United States Canada Mexico can become energy exporters and that potentially rise and the price -- -- that's the only thing I see.
Other -- these two unbelievably horrible options of bombing around running around up of.
What -- -- we -- many times about the they're spraying and all the different things that have been going on over that part of the world is there any way that we can.
I presume we have CIA trying to in trying to get things stirred up in the -- in the country of Iran.
Will they be successful is that the way you do it.
It's always -- -- -- new medicine after vast and though the -- and did not work out in 2000 and non we all remember and we've discussed that.
There was an uprising in the -- it wasn't Iranians bring in the making fun of our own eyes one point five million people including mostly young people 60% including.
You know girls and boys uprising against the at all us we failed to reach out to them do it there -- almost there the boss Don we're about to.
-- the streets and then we lost this opportunity the only opportunity with the Iran.
Other than the military option is still link up with identify and then support a strong opposition they'll bring them to -- -- -- -- the end of the day.
Like we've seen in Libya that we've seen in Egypt or in that the -- -- the -- the last question last question is did we we talk about the economy jobs all the stores of the big deal for elections in November.
But is -- going to be on the radar.
They -- continue to scenario -- let's assume that -- now 2012 were in summer 2012.
Iran looks like it's getting closer closer closer -- nuclear weapons Israelis are gonna have to make a calculation they're gonna look at this and say.
Potentially Obama's gonna get reelected we don't wanna have to try to deal with Iran in a second Obama term they're gonna have to make good to -- Asian and maybe they go along do so -- -- four -- -- election first United States aren't back from.
Going to be an interest in years very -- crime -- lead thing.