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The big story this morning that -- be the death of Kim Jong ill.
They joined the company is John Bolton former US ambassador to the United Nations and they Fox News contributor -- -- back to welcome back to the program.
Good morning guys to -- I see this as instability.
Right on China's doorstep of death for a significant financial threats weigh down the road what -- you -- Oh I think very definitely I think you have the risk here nuclear chemical and biological weapons falling.
And who knows who's hand you have the risk of fractious North Korean military fighting among itself over the succession.
You have the risk of massive refugee flows across the -- -- into China or into the DMZ the demilitarized zone.
In South Korea.
This is a potentially huge problem one that we should have seen coming.
But unfortunately apart from the military side we have not prepared for the China won't let this happen will it its -- it's a neighbor of of North Korea they just across the river.
Then I'm gonna have total instability and chaos in North Korea they'll step in somehow or -- either by -- off for use their army somehow or -- they gonna stall this instability don't think.
Well -- -- the United States forces Korea Anderson South Korean forces are not gonna permit.
These nuclear weapons to to remain in uncertain hands they're not gonna permit NASA refugee flows.
So we have the prospect of multiple military interventions.
And the risk of -- inflection falling away.
This is why we should have been talking to China for a decade or more to get ready for this inevitable.
Transition and why we should have had our eye on the real prize here US policy since 1945.
Which is reunifying the two Koreas it's not too late.
But where -- very very risky situation can you just take us through what you all view is over the next few months what do you think he's really gonna happen.
Well first it.
North Korea is such an opaque society that that nobody really knows anybody's guess is going to be as good as anybody else's but I think that it's not likely.
That there will be a smooth transition this is not you'll forgive me a constitutional monarch -- like.
Britain is not inevitable.
That Kim Jung -- is gonna succeed his father.
This 22 year old four star general who's never been in the military I don't think we'll sit well.
With the military commanders I think that there's a lot at stake for everybody here and that the risk of regime collapse is very real indeed.
Now it could it could be the other way could be people will bide their time but I think what what this says for the United States.
Is we need all of our available intelligence assets watching what goes on.
Watching the disposition of North Korea's military forces.
Watching in particular for the risk that the nuclear chemical or biological weapons may be.
Coming and stock are getting close to being used.
And we need to be in intense diplomatic consultations with China over the outcome here you know mr.
-- you just.
Drew a parallel between.
The British and the north Koreans and but I'll let it pass could let down the path to stay there for 12 -- Chris kolbe has to get himself.
One best reading easy somewhat set -- about the military -- it's.
What is Kim Jong-Il able to do legacy get the support of the military that his son might not be able to -- at the successor will have to do here in the next few days.
Well the the founder of North Korea Kim IL sung spent twenty years getting Kim Jong-Il ready and conditioning the military to accept that they period -- Succession transition planning for Kim -- Has been much less it's a very different situation now and that's why I think when you hear people confidently predicting as some.
Financial analysts -- -- are already have I've seen it this morning well looks like the succession is well underway in Kim Jung humble take over.
This this is crazy it could be that that the Kim family and their hangers on.
Have prepared this and have control of key elements of the military but I think it is far from certain.
Okay ambassador John ball in the pleasure thanks for joining is again especially those -- -- thank you so.
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