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Republican Party politics.
Declare for a -- winner out of the debates.
Declare for us if you will.
The likelihood of Herman -- becoming the nominee.
We'll look at it -- debates with as many people as we have here there's not one winner unless there's an extraordinary performance by somebody there are winners and I think the winners Internet where Mitt Romney.
Who once again turned in a very good performance and survive the attacks of his opponents.
Herman Cain who had some energy and was the focus of the evening maybe that won't be good over the long haul but was good that night.
Among those who were watching and I think also.
Newt Gingrich who continues to perform well these debates even those numbers are new -- -- But look if I know we've we're going through a brief.
It's spurt of -- mania.
Where people are saying well -- -- moved up in the polls we've we've seen this before it happened earlier this year -- Donald Trump was Michelle Bachmann was Rick Perry.
-- we better be very careful if you look at the real clear politics average of the polls.
That Romney's at 22 in the recent polls Herman -- has moved up to twenty Rick Perry's move down to fourteen right and then Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul or date.
But I would remind you this on October 13 2008.
Rudy Giuliani -- in the real clear politics average by thirty.
Fred Thompson was in second place John McCain was a distant third at thirteen that was -- his heels and eleventh and Mike Huckabee who -- in a turn it to be a real contender was at 6% so -- and and Fred disappeared entirely by the time we got around -- voted on January 3 so.
Where we're likely to see a lot of ups and downs what matters more than the national polls are two things the polls in the -- in the early states state by state.
And then the quality of organization that each candidate has in the early states state by state.
And those we've got some sense.
But but the one sense we do have as well Herman -- performing well in the early polls.
He is nowhere to be found in terms organization those early states.
Today he's in Tennessee on a bus -- Earlier He was in Texas for four stop tour I don't think he's gonna do well in Texas in less He does well -- those early primaries and Tennessee doesn't happen until.
Like the eighth of march He ought to be spending more time in the early states rather than selling his book in Tennessee.
-- Karl with with that council I'm going to us to remember just a very brief comment if you will for governor Romney.
What does He have to do to break -- He has as you point out at various points been in the front runner.
But He doesn't seem to be able to break out what does He need to do well not no one -- breakout we shouldn't expect people to Begin to break out until they start spending money vigorously in these early primary caucus states.
And Begin to pile of victories until then in this contest in particular.
Everybody's going to be stuck there because people are watching these individual candidates in -- I wanna make certain you can get the job done in the general election.
And nobody is deeply committed to candidates what's he's been durable but he's -- nobody's gonna break out until they Begin to show some results in these early states.
And and the organization money they spends gonna be determined -- of that.
Our overall thanks for being here.
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